@0x428623…1788

#1,921,6721

0x42862345245b3e7c225dad1486936a8b97a94372

~9d· 12 markets · 99 tradesVol: $11,4382026-08-05 17:28:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (3/12)0/20
0.89x (win $39 / loss $44)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -27.8940/15
Sortino -15.7620/10
$-0.0377 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2861 (12 markets)0/10
0/7 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#237,068$-7Vol: $5,156
💰 FINANCE#524,513$-3Vol: $2,587
₿ CRYPTO#889,564$-1Vol: $1,253
💻 TECH#194,790$-1Vol: $1,206
🏛️ POLITICS#958,535$-2Vol: $696
🎭 CULTURE#145,086$1Vol: $540

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,438
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
80B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
3W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
25%
3W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39 (3.046911649726349% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?$33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13?$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13?$-2
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$-1
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?$-1
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.352
Sortino
-2.876
HHI
3016
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.5%
Top-5 markets
93.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 293s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.8%
High (>55c)22.5%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 4:29:55 AM3 trades$1710 min
6/13/2026, 8:06:34 AM13 trades$404 min
6/13/2026, 9:10:06 AM4 trades$382 min
7/1/2026, 8:46:40 AM2 trades$200 min
6/13/2026, 8:18:55 AM1 trades$180 min
6/13/2026, 9:17:48 AM3 trades$181 min
6/13/2026, 8:32:52 AM3 trades$131 min
6/13/2026, 10:06:34 AM4 trades$1210 min
6/13/2026, 10:22:18 AM6 trades$116 min
6/13/2026, 7:41:57 AM3 trades$81 min
6/13/2026, 8:55:01 AM3 trades$64 min
6/13/2026, 10:34:51 AM1 trades$50 min
6/30/2026, 10:23:38 AM2 trades$20 min
5/21/2026, 8:03:08 AM2 trades$20 min
7/1/2026, 7:26:14 PM2 trades$10 min
7/6/2026, 2:05:46 AM1 trades$10 min
7/9/2026, 6:39:01 PM8 trades$09 min
7/3/2026, 12:58:13 PM2 trades$00 min
7/10/2026, 4:26:22 PM3 trades$00 min
7/9/2026, 4:37:10 PM2 trades$01 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-21
06-13
06-28
06-30
07-01
07-06
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.8 / M8.8 / H22.5