@0x42BC64…2356

#2,775,4579

0x42bc64e1bc739774dada7e641a2a035add5ae5fd

~6d· 27 markets · 362 tradesVol: $44,2482026-08-04 22:09:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (3/27)0/20
0.16x (win $90 / loss $549)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.4105 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1150 (27 markets)6.8/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 2746% of peak ($476 / $17)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,440,294$-78Vol: $25,667
🌤️ WEATHER#291,294$-210Vol: $16,916
⚽ SPORTS#1,151,992$-4Vol: $1,666

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,248
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
97B / 265S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
3W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-292
Win Rate
11%
3W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $90 (0.3076923076923077% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?$52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 21?$32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?$5

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?$-394
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 21?$-28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 21?$-19
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?$-7
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.481
Sortino
-0.388
HHI
2864
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.410
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.9%
Top-5 markets
92.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.3
Very active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.2m
between trades
Night Trading
82%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 3.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)82% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule60 trades/day — mass trading4.5 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.41
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)58.8%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 3:03:14 AM92 trades$5,8574 min
6/19/2026, 12:32:10 AM14 trades$6874 min
6/22/2026, 2:49:43 AM13 trades$4167 min
6/21/2026, 4:05:47 AM14 trades$2888 min
6/21/2026, 3:59:01 AM17 trades$2601 min
6/17/2026, 11:44:29 PM11 trades$2560 min
6/18/2026, 7:35:10 AM7 trades$1920 min
6/21/2026, 9:27:26 AM3 trades$1730 min
6/18/2026, 4:59:44 AM6 trades$1480 min
6/19/2026, 12:06:53 AM3 trades$1370 min
6/21/2026, 4:42:07 AM18 trades$1098 min
6/21/2026, 5:29:59 AM7 trades$892 min
6/20/2026, 8:02:58 AM9 trades$710 min
6/21/2026, 4:22:05 AM9 trades$696 min
6/21/2026, 5:59:07 AM15 trades$630 min
6/18/2026, 1:52:32 AM10 trades$592 min
6/18/2026, 8:54:23 AM2 trades$490 min
6/21/2026, 1:23:20 AM7 trades$430 min
6/21/2026, 5:04:22 AM16 trades$352 min
6/21/2026, 1:53:52 AM10 trades$350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
55.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.2 / M0 / H58.8