@hrwxl

#2,378,59640

0x42d1f90c32b72cb110e50d10e9cf680f18cee5e8

~41d· 41 markets · 89 tradesVol: $4,6962026-08-06 15:53:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (34/39)20/20
0.21x (win $14 / loss $65)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8520/15
Sortino -2.8280/10
$-0.0151 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 575 (39 markets)9.6/10
26/29 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 1663% of peak ($65 / $4)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Consistent
26/29 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#283,307$2Vol: $1,407
💰 FINANCE#87,063$4Vol: $1,244
₿ CRYPTO#366,880$2Vol: $1,181
🎭 CULTURE#768,828$-62Vol: $813
📈 ECONOMICS#102,014$1Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-53
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,696
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
62B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $117
Month
$-0
Vol: $117
All Time
$-53
Vol: $4,696

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
34W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-53
Win Rate
87%
34W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7 (0.1359296011982775% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of June?$3
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$2
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$1
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?$0
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?$0
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$0

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-65
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March?$-0
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.147
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
436
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
33.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 0.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 7:14:43 AM12 trades$3433 min
6/14/2026, 7:38:09 AM2 trades$2270 min
12/22/2025, 12:32:11 PM3 trades$2255 min
5/26/2026, 11:19:43 AM2 trades$2250 min
12/16/2025, 11:21:11 AM2 trades$2051 min
3/31/2026, 5:43:17 AM2 trades$1472 min
7/8/2026, 7:42:23 AM2 trades$1210 min
5/8/2026, 12:44:27 PM6 trades$1192 min
7/30/2026, 2:25:09 PM2 trades$1161 min
6/14/2026, 7:27:06 AM2 trades$1140 min
1/2/2026, 8:49:53 AM2 trades$1130 min
5/30/2026, 1:49:33 AM1 trades$1130 min
12/26/2025, 4:38:13 PM1 trades$1130 min
11/26/2025, 11:37:17 AM3 trades$1132 min
11/9/2025, 10:50:15 AM1 trades$1120 min
11/18/2025, 6:50:01 AM1 trades$1120 min
4/25/2026, 1:08:10 AM1 trades$1120 min
3/24/2026, 11:19:39 AM1 trades$1120 min
3/25/2026, 1:10:45 AM1 trades$1120 min
4/16/2026, 5:54:28 PM1 trades$1120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-26
12-22
01-02
01-30
02-28
03-31
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100