@lucky0629

#2,903,41614

0x42dfe34425076792ed0528efb7a32c84e948b671

~30d· 29 markets · 164 tradesVol: $43,7542026-08-04 19:18:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (10/27)3.5/20
0.51x (win $813 / loss $1,587)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3920/15
Sortino -3.5170/10
$-0.0778 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1122 (27 markets)6.9/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 304% of peak ($1,153 / $380)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#654,142$-1,018Vol: $21,802
🏛️ POLITICS#35,819$302Vol: $17,962
₿ CRYPTO#179,163$21Vol: $2,597
📈 ECONOMICS#663,504$-125Vol: $1,329
🎭 CULTURE#53,629$17Vol: $63

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-804
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,754
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
103B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $0
Week
$-21
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-804
Vol: $43,754

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
10W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-804
Win Rate
37%
10W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-93

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $508 (0.6312052327894946% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?$200
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$154
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$154
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$68
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$21
US military action against Iran before July?$17
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?$2
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?$0

Top Losers

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$-693
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$-180
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$-151
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$-144
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-124
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-71
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$-70
Will Elon register the America Party in July?$-48
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?$-33
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.172
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
1085
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.1%
Top-5 markets
68.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 2.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)13.6%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2025, 8:37:57 AM3 trades$2,3214 min
7/7/2025, 4:39:25 AM2 trades$1,9182 min
7/7/2025, 4:34:21 AM1 trades$1,8000 min
7/13/2025, 3:49:34 PM3 trades$1,7652 min
7/7/2025, 8:13:25 AM1 trades$1,4610 min
5/16/2026, 12:08:14 PM11 trades$1,2063 min
6/23/2025, 11:47:25 AM2 trades$1,2004 min
7/3/2025, 10:10:33 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
6/24/2025, 2:19:31 PM1 trades$1,1230 min
5/16/2026, 11:51:43 AM16 trades$9822 min
7/7/2025, 4:12:59 AM7 trades$5254 min
3/28/2026, 1:42:41 PM1 trades$4000 min
4/4/2026, 1:55:19 PM2 trades$3540 min
6/25/2025, 1:08:07 PM2 trades$3543 min
7/23/2025, 12:46:35 PM2 trades$3051 min
7/5/2026, 9:21:19 AM7 trades$2680 min
3/28/2026, 2:04:27 PM2 trades$2601 min
7/9/2025, 2:11:08 PM2 trades$2441 min
7/24/2025, 5:23:50 AM1 trades$2360 min
7/4/2025, 9:03:41 AM1 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-25
07-04
07-07
07-11
07-23
08-21
04-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 311 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.8 / M11.7 / H13.6