@CasualDoubt

#327,47959

0x43222ef8b179a68c220dbb3537765f0db10eb038

~6d· 9 markets · 28 tradesVol: $11,5272026-08-05 00:39:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

100% (5/5)20/20
99.00x (win $225 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0415 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 2175 (5 markets)1.6/10
5/5 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $225)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+45
Consistent
5/5 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#924,403$-1Vol: $10,820
⚽ SPORTS#227,686$20Vol: $341

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$45
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,527
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
17B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
100%
5W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$45
Win Rate
100%
5W / 0L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $147 (3.2814798306217967% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in July 2026?$55
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$51
Spread: India (-1.5)$41
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$40
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by July 31?$38

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
5.811
Sortino
inf
HHI
530
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
49.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
45.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.22
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2726s — normal for humanCV 0.22 — uniform order sizes29% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.6
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 7:12:01 AM4 trades$7222 min
7/28/2026, 10:23:52 AM3 trades$7151 min
7/15/2026, 5:24:04 AM3 trades$7143 min
7/15/2026, 7:22:22 AM2 trades$3720 min
7/15/2026, 4:42:19 AM3 trades$3680 min
6/10/2026, 6:34:16 AM2 trades$3660 min
7/28/2026, 9:38:26 AM2 trades$3610 min
7/16/2026, 5:42:56 AM2 trades$3560 min
7/29/2026, 6:01:42 AM1 trades$3490 min
7/16/2026, 8:05:22 AM1 trades$3430 min
6/9/2026, 7:18:07 AM2 trades$3410 min
7/29/2026, 8:12:42 AM2 trades$3240 min
7/29/2026, 7:41:59 AM1 trades$3080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
07-16
07-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100