kaedenwilcox

@kaedenwilcox

#192,87255

0x43910ee9813a0f83a497e1259b9283dd72365b32

~34d· 34 markets · 68 tradesVol: $17,4002026-08-05 17:29:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (6/28)0/20
2.57x (win $356 / loss $138)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.04715/15
Sortino 9.37910/10
$+0.0178 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1207 (28 markets)6.5/10
6/28 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($79 / $232)7.2/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+158

Categories

3
SPORTS#92,043$181Vol: $9,298
🏛️ POLITICS#1,391,827$-23Vol: $8,087
CRYPTO#687,286$0Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$158
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,400
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
41B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $965
All Time
$158
Vol: $17,400

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
6W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$158
Win Rate
21%
6W / 22L
Profit Factor
2.57x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $296 (1.8717721518987342% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hawks vs. Spurs$100
Flyers vs. Red Wings$99
Senators vs. Kraken$97
Penguins vs. Canadiens$56
Warriors vs. Grizzlies$4
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$0

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-78
Thunder vs. Lakers$-24
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-18
Pirates vs. Orioles$-9
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$-6
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$-1
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?$-1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.208
Sortino
0.435
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.361
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
9.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21442s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.3%
High (>55c)61%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 8:54:27 PM4 trades$1,9545 min
7/30/2026, 9:58:36 AM5 trades$1,9514 min
7/29/2026, 10:02:45 PM4 trades$1,9443 min
7/29/2026, 2:53:42 PM4 trades$1,9385 min
7/31/2026, 4:29:17 PM2 trades$9780 min
7/28/2026, 6:42:29 PM3 trades$9690 min
7/31/2026, 4:37:36 PM2 trades$9650 min
8/1/2026, 12:05:09 PM2 trades$9650 min
12/19/2024, 6:53:44 AM1 trades$1220 min
12/17/2024, 12:24:34 PM1 trades$1140 min
12/18/2024, 8:24:42 AM1 trades$1070 min
12/13/2024, 12:34:28 PM1 trades$780 min
12/12/2024, 11:21:18 AM1 trades$610 min
11/29/2024, 11:57:21 AM1 trades$240 min
9/30/2024, 9:45:05 AM1 trades$180 min
9/11/2025, 9:42:03 AM1 trades$90 min
7/28/2025, 9:58:59 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 7:36:17 AM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 12:04:27 PM1 trades$50 min
5/12/2025, 5:49:16 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
12-16
03-06
04-09
04-30
05-08
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M29.3 / H61