@atilgan

#2,933,94820

0x439f10990d11dbf3d06b54aad843cb391fb3bded

~137d· 934 markets · 1491 tradesVol: $269,689 @atgn06502026-08-05 03:16:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (425/931)7.8/20
0.63x (win $5,053 / loss $7,996)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3110/15
Sortino -3.1820/10
$-0.0850 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 112 (931 markets)10/10
50/131 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 967% of peak ($3,282 / $339)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,562,534$-292Vol: $177,920
🎭 CULTURE#783,400$-107Vol: $34,055
SPORTS#1,779,067$-360Vol: $28,184
🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,806$-287Vol: $21,458
🌤️ WEATHER#266,400$-27Vol: $3,974
📈 ECONOMICS#591,726$-9Vol: $3,565
💰 FINANCE#35,043$27Vol: $533

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,055
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$269,689
Total Redeem
$331
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
934
total markets
Trades
1189B / 302S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $19
Month
$-0
Vol: $19
All Time
$-1,055
Vol: $269,689

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
425W / 506L events
Realized PnL
$-1,055
Win Rate
46%
425W / 506L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,227 (2.111773740898058% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,015
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$132
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$80
Pistons vs. Heat$29
Islanders vs. Stars$29
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?$28
Rockets vs. Warriors$27
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$25
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$25
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$25

Top Losers

Rangers vs. Lightning$-680
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-606
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-548
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-512
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-454
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-406
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-376
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-254
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-234
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.120
Sortino
-0.140
HHI
122
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
17.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
19s
between trades
Avg Gap
59.9m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal3.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.69
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)53.2%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 6:14:56 AM30 trades$3,4824 min
5/17/2026, 6:32:01 AM22 trades$2,7852 min
5/3/2026, 7:09:52 AM31 trades$2,4746 min
5/8/2026, 7:56:47 AM40 trades$1,7616 min
6/9/2026, 10:53:13 AM28 trades$1,6133 min
4/27/2026, 7:30:56 AM29 trades$1,6023 min
6/24/2026, 7:40:11 AM23 trades$1,4392 min
6/17/2026, 8:36:37 AM15 trades$1,4221 min
5/12/2026, 2:15:14 PM11 trades$1,3384 min
5/12/2026, 12:21:08 PM3 trades$1,0540 min
4/10/2026, 7:15:09 AM7 trades$1,0040 min
11/22/2025, 2:43:19 PM43 trades$83916 min
4/15/2026, 4:09:40 PM2 trades$7800 min
11/23/2025, 9:32:03 AM31 trades$62312 min
11/28/2025, 8:44:01 AM15 trades$59210 min
5/12/2026, 11:25:28 AM1 trades$5430 min
2/12/2026, 7:39:09 AM24 trades$52115 min
11/18/2025, 7:52:37 AM21 trades$5026 min
12/1/2025, 8:00:08 AM7 trades$4914 min
7/19/2026, 7:23:45 AM5 trades$4721 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
11-27
12-20
01-12
02-16
03-24
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 245 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.4 / M14.4 / H53.2