@0x43ca1f…4896

#2,032,35467

0x43ca1f1d6ee7aabae77904ac6bd49645eefcd04c

~56d· 80 markets · 420 tradesVol: $67,1992026-08-04 18:55:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (21/71)0/20
2.34x (win $5,596 / loss $2,393)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.17415/15
Sortino 10.45410/10
$+0.4606 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 665 (71 markets)9.2/10
11/40 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($1,573 / $4,776)7.4/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
💰 FINANCE#647,908$-382Vol: $39,524
🏛️ POLITICS#24,735$591Vol: $18,614
🎭 CULTURE#36,808$35Vol: $3,458
📈 ECONOMICS#658,805$-98Vol: $2,334
⚽ SPORTS#1,646,758$-78Vol: $1,663
₿ CRYPTO#1,416,544$-62Vol: $1,190
📢 MENTIONS#143,575$-21Vol: $175

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,199
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
172B / 248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $493
Month
$-22
Vol: $493
All Time
$-18
Vol: $67,199

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
21W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
30%
21W / 50L
Profit Factor
2.34x
Avg Win
$266
Avg Loss
$-50

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,933 (277.12752808988756% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$3,435
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$899
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$599
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?$162
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$108
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$96
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$70
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$49
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$31

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-800
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-266
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?$-141
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$-126
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-108
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$-102
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-91
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$-79
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-66
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.112
Sortino
0.507
HHI
1253
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.342
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.6%
Top-5 markets
63.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 387s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)33.1%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 8:07:20 AM14 trades$1,7560 min
5/26/2026, 2:18:30 AM8 trades$1,0350 min
4/26/2026, 1:26:14 PM13 trades$9091 min
5/23/2026, 4:24:41 AM2 trades$8670 min
4/6/2026, 7:00:55 PM16 trades$6671 min
6/4/2026, 3:47:27 AM16 trades$5940 min
4/12/2026, 7:19:29 PM7 trades$4990 min
7/6/2026, 8:04:11 PM7 trades$4711 min
4/13/2026, 7:47:53 AM29 trades$4222 min
5/31/2026, 7:07:00 PM8 trades$4070 min
8/3/2026, 4:55:24 AM11 trades$3973 min
7/18/2026, 11:18:31 PM7 trades$3470 min
6/7/2026, 8:01:06 PM4 trades$3401 min
3/1/2026, 12:19:07 AM6 trades$2905 min
3/2/2026, 6:21:37 PM2 trades$2811 min
3/3/2026, 8:19:33 PM1 trades$2720 min
5/26/2026, 11:19:16 PM2 trades$2630 min
5/27/2026, 10:38:06 AM2 trades$2630 min
4/30/2026, 3:44:06 PM15 trades$2587 min
6/5/2026, 3:49:00 AM15 trades$2482 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-01
03-07
03-24
04-18
05-14
06-07
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.2 / M22.7 / H33.1