@kai-xin

#3,061,78335

0x43eb2ba94d3b0ed1bc241174b4993b666285f17f

~93d· 294 markets · 4067 tradesVol: $1,850,9392026-08-05 15:33:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (182/294)16/20
1.01x (win $70,016 / loss $69,054)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0480.9/15
Sortino 0.0540.5/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 187 (294 markets)10/10
44/89 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 141% of peak ($37,664 / $26,651)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 62%
DCA Master
Avg 14.1 entries/market
Whale
$572,567 invested
High Roller
$2,254/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,674,558$-10,621Vol: $1,739,967
🏛️ POLITICS#1,450,405$-43Vol: $95,638
⚽ SPORTS#1,788,317$-431Vol: $9,772
💰 FINANCE#608,973$-32Vol: $4,362
🎭 CULTURE#770,664$-64Vol: $647

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,159
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,850,939
Total Redeem
$1,867
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
294
total markets
Trades
2646B / 1421S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Week
$-3
Vol: $104
Month
$-3
Vol: $104
All Time
$-11,159
Vol: $1,850,939

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
182W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$-11,159
Win Rate
62%
182W / 112L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$385
Avg Loss
$-634

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,805 (2.4022260956844756% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$11,934
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?$8,469
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$6,403
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?$4,271
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 31?$2,551
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2,200
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 30?$2,176
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 31?$2,135
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?$2,089
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?$2,060

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-35,276
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 31?$-4,205
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-3,996
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$-3,250
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-3,230
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$-2,436
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 3?$-1,976
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-1,600
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?$-1,384
XRP Up or Down - January 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-1,280

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.002
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
35.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 5.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)65.6%

Sessions

#12
1/2/2026, 4:50:15 PM12 trades$40,28010 min
1/14/2026, 5:41:26 AM18 trades$35,2763 min
12/19/2025, 5:00:27 PM5 trades$31,1971 min
1/3/2026, 5:19:33 PM19 trades$29,85112 min
1/3/2026, 4:51:01 PM2 trades$29,1821 min
1/5/2026, 4:50:57 PM19 trades$25,61611 min
1/1/2026, 4:57:01 PM27 trades$20,2364 min
1/6/2026, 4:57:43 PM4 trades$19,8861 min
12/30/2025, 4:37:09 PM23 trades$19,6009 min
4/30/2026, 7:40:32 PM4 trades$18,0003 min
12/31/2025, 4:42:49 PM27 trades$17,38417 min
4/24/2026, 4:10:46 PM2 trades$17,0000 min
1/9/2026, 4:54:38 PM7 trades$15,4946 min
12/24/2025, 4:20:41 PM13 trades$15,20410 min
12/24/2025, 4:47:49 PM21 trades$14,93010 min
1/11/2026, 4:54:58 PM82 trades$14,66139 min
1/3/2026, 4:27:21 AM64 trades$13,1032 min
12/23/2025, 2:43:31 PM1 trades$12,7970 min
1/9/2026, 5:13:38 PM15 trades$12,7550 min
5/24/2026, 9:39:30 AM4 trades$11,4584 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-17
12-14
01-01
01-29
04-28
05-25
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M12.9 / H65.6