@0x447F85…4411

#2,786,7190

0x42d07942eb3ac8cf6f45beccbfafc83a70f20541

~13d· 45 markets · 453 tradesVol: $169,9072026-08-04 20:09:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (8/45)0/20
0.62x (win $1,029 / loss $1,671)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3330/15
Sortino -5.1150/10
$-0.3134 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6205 (45 markets)0/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 567% of peak ($780 / $137)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,145$-598Vol: $121,730
₿ CRYPTO#73,246$157Vol: $40,473
⚽ SPORTS#105,205$135Vol: $5,146
📢 MENTIONS#84,389$-1Vol: $1,000
💻 TECH#190,331$-1Vol: $1,000
📈 ECONOMICS#542,961$-3Vol: $558

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-311
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$169,907
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
91B / 362S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Week
$-9
Vol: $29
Month
$-9
Vol: $29
All Time
$-311
Vol: $169,907

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
8W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-311
Win Rate
18%
8W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$129
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $683 (2.1963217799498427% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$285
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$213
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$185
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$168
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$89
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$31
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27

Top Losers

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-500
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-194
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-173
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-150
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$-88
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-56
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.218
Sortino
-0.295
HHI
946
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.308
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.3%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 881s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity16 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)14.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 8:44:07 PM9 trades$100,0106 min
7/3/2026, 4:58:25 AM26 trades$2,7971 min
7/3/2026, 3:59:43 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
7/1/2026, 2:32:13 PM32 trades$2,4846 min
7/3/2026, 3:57:59 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/1/2026, 1:52:35 PM9 trades$1,6090 min
6/22/2026, 12:47:56 PM49 trades$1,4031 min
7/1/2026, 3:21:35 PM18 trades$1,2971 min
7/3/2026, 12:06:50 AM18 trades$1,1470 min
6/21/2026, 12:11:41 AM4 trades$1,0000 min
6/29/2026, 3:23:40 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/5/2026, 12:55:47 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/11/2026, 1:42:49 AM3 trades$1,0000 min
7/3/2026, 11:59:52 AM22 trades$9270 min
6/20/2026, 3:50:20 PM35 trades$9257 min
6/27/2026, 6:58:07 AM4 trades$7760 min
7/1/2026, 9:52:14 AM4 trades$5740 min
7/1/2026, 6:26:43 AM3 trades$5560 min
7/1/2026, 2:26:35 PM4 trades$5120 min
7/1/2026, 2:15:10 PM4 trades$4930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-22
06-27
06-29
07-02
07-05
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.9 / M19.8 / H14.3