@Emircansahin

#3,072,28310

0x44c4c88662edc9e0978ee40e96ee8457531609cb

~79d· 158 markets · 1074 tradesVol: $1,534,3752026-08-04 23:13:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (38/158)0/20
0.80x (win $144,972 / loss $182,253)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4970/15
Sortino -2.4710/10
$-0.1546 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 178 (158 markets)10/10
22/77 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 6310% of peak ($75,332 / $1,194)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Whale
$241,164 invested

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,882,712$-52,675Vol: $1,526,255
🎭 CULTURE#802,270$-350Vol: $5,343
CRYPTO#1,388,609$-50Vol: $2,778

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-53,075
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,534,375
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
301B / 773S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
38W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-53,075
Win Rate
24%
38W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$3,815
Avg Loss
$-1,571

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60,315 (1.1364125892413701% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36,560
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$15,229
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)$8,526
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?$7,045
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$6,256
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$5,980
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$5,261
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?$5,190
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$4,696
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?$4,540

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-17,707
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-10,000
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?$-8,983
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)$-6,000
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-4,457
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$-4,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-4,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?$-3,963
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$-3,600
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$-3,225

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.136
HHI
259
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.136
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
23.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1222s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.5%
Mid (20-55c)39.5%
High (>55c)13%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 9:10:29 PM19 trades$18,5090 min
6/27/2026, 11:01:35 PM2 trades$16,7050 min
5/30/2026, 7:04:01 PM3 trades$16,0390 min
5/2/2026, 6:40:54 PM31 trades$12,3990 min
4/26/2026, 6:34:18 PM11 trades$12,3350 min
7/10/2026, 5:40:26 PM10 trades$11,8220 min
5/23/2026, 8:26:25 PM56 trades$11,5097 min
5/3/2026, 5:13:00 PM4 trades$10,2460 min
6/26/2026, 8:41:25 PM8 trades$10,1010 min
5/19/2026, 8:17:29 PM4 trades$8,8260 min
6/13/2026, 9:18:03 PM4 trades$8,8240 min
7/12/2026, 1:13:41 AM3 trades$8,6960 min
5/27/2026, 9:09:52 PM2 trades$8,6870 min
6/14/2026, 3:56:58 PM3 trades$8,4730 min
5/16/2026, 5:20:12 PM2 trades$8,3250 min
5/30/2026, 3:01:33 PM2 trades$8,1000 min
6/17/2026, 3:11:56 PM35 trades$8,0772 min
3/4/2025, 7:26:25 PM2 trades$7,5002 min
5/23/2026, 7:24:27 PM25 trades$7,1325 min
6/23/2026, 10:05:41 PM2 trades$6,9770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
01-23
04-09
04-24
05-16
06-19
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 537 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.5 / M39.5 / H13