Nothingtrue2000

@Nothingtrue2000

#64,40691

0x4512b74d3d1bbe6128ce430169cd7f1f5618c4a9

~346d· 1204 markets · 9042 tradesVol: $854,983 @nottrue20002026-08-05 17:28:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (781/1134)19.4/20
3.23x (win $28,893 / loss $8,946)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.98315/15
Sortino 15.09610/10
$+0.0617 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 197 (1134 markets)10/10
162/250 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($1,722 / $20,076)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+1,496
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Whale
$323,261 invested
Consistent
162/250 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#14,194$1,447Vol: $347,445
SPORTS#31,489$1,330Vol: $206,318
💰 FINANCE#653,082$-775Vol: $126,197
CRYPTO#1,589,786$-486Vol: $101,925
🎭 CULTURE#798,637$-224Vol: $23,880
📈 ECONOMICS#9,412$162Vol: $14,539
🌤️ WEATHER#12,135$36Vol: $4,616
📢 MENTIONS#124,752$-8Vol: $3,802
💻 TECH#23,092$6Vol: $1,324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,496
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$854,983
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1204
total markets
Trades
5589B / 3453S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~346d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $240
Week
$-117
Vol: $276
Month
$-40
Vol: $276
All Time
$1,496
Vol: $854,983

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
781W / 353L events
Realized PnL
$1,496
Win Rate
69%
781W / 353L
Profit Factor
3.23x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,050 (10.726687028410646% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8,038
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6,028
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,984
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,506
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,491
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$990
Will Nico Williams sign with a new club during the transfer window?$699
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$627
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$568
Will the US strike Somalia next?$535

Top Losers

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-962
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-671
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-508
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$-422
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-360
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-283
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-263
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-262
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-240
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-235

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.494
HHI
198
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
26%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.6m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 450s — normal for humanCV 2.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency2.9 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)64.6%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 3:57:57 PM5 trades$5,6468 min
3/3/2026, 2:32:45 PM12 trades$5,14416 min
2/19/2026, 2:17:50 PM14 trades$3,24824 min
3/19/2026, 10:01:07 AM2 trades$2,9590 min
3/17/2026, 3:27:25 PM15 trades$2,8987 min
3/1/2026, 1:03:37 PM8 trades$2,7667 min
3/6/2026, 4:14:13 AM2 trades$2,7490 min
3/3/2026, 3:04:47 PM2 trades$2,6820 min
2/19/2026, 3:15:14 PM3 trades$2,6565 min
3/7/2026, 1:48:17 AM4 trades$2,6400 min
3/19/2026, 10:19:19 AM1 trades$2,4650 min
3/1/2026, 10:42:33 AM10 trades$2,38117 min
3/29/2026, 8:06:50 PM6 trades$2,25410 min
2/28/2026, 8:03:01 AM9 trades$2,2205 min
3/29/2026, 1:04:34 PM2 trades$2,1212 min
3/3/2026, 3:31:33 PM12 trades$2,0845 min
3/29/2026, 2:28:56 PM1 trades$2,0080 min
3/7/2026, 8:11:17 AM1 trades$1,9980 min
3/5/2026, 9:28:27 PM1 trades$1,9960 min
3/1/2026, 4:17:23 PM16 trades$1,95114 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
09-20
11-03
12-19
02-07
04-12
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25 / M10.4 / H64.6