@tapwater

#102,62971

0x45185c19924be749ae26100fcd8aedddf52c25b0

~68d· 192 markets · 2724 tradesVol: $369,0732026-08-04 23:35:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (123/183)18.6/20
1.26x (win $21,177 / loss $16,774)5.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.74715/15
Sortino 3.48410/10
$+0.0560 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 323 (183 markets)10/10
19/33 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($3,701 / $6,032)1.7/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+647
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Whale
$78,560 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,629,840$-2,507Vol: $143,755
⚽ SPORTS#15,816$2,757Vol: $125,099
₿ CRYPTO#1,593,798$-534Vol: $89,333
🎭 CULTURE#14,888$177Vol: $6,350
📈 ECONOMICS#4,131$615Vol: $3,000
💰 FINANCE#15,312$138Vol: $1,236

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$647
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$369,073
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
1464B / 1260S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-203
Vol: $0
Week
$-201
Vol: $231
Month
$100
Vol: $11,523
All Time
$647
Vol: $369,073

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
122W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$647
Win Rate
67%
122W / 60L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$172
Avg Loss
$-305

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,692 (13.432174316179877% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$6,997
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$859
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$836
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$800
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$600
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5$504
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$501
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$453
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5$440
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$368

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-2,992
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones$-1,917
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-1,318
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,204
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$-845
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-790
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$-786
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-770
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaider$-676
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$-555

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.137
HHI
365
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
33.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 222s — normal for humanCV 3.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)32.8%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 8:06:10 PM10 trades$5,9735 min
6/22/2026, 2:10:37 PM8 trades$4,0355 min
8/17/2024, 2:42:39 AM4 trades$3,9922 min
6/22/2026, 4:54:38 AM26 trades$3,97636 min
8/17/2024, 12:58:27 AM4 trades$3,9475 min
6/15/2026, 4:14:57 PM27 trades$3,42111 min
6/20/2026, 4:28:23 PM4 trades$2,6402 min
6/16/2026, 4:05:40 PM159 trades$2,47230 min
6/4/2026, 2:34:21 AM17 trades$2,4503 min
6/20/2026, 4:48:52 PM2 trades$2,3690 min
7/1/2026, 9:04:20 PM2 trades$1,9960 min
6/4/2026, 12:22:06 AM2 trades$1,9460 min
6/4/2026, 9:29:27 PM99 trades$1,8967 min
5/18/2026, 4:45:06 AM3 trades$1,6870 min
7/13/2026, 10:34:38 PM2 trades$1,6000 min
6/5/2026, 5:12:21 PM28 trades$1,5694 min
6/5/2026, 5:26:57 PM50 trades$1,5505 min
6/15/2026, 3:50:00 PM9 trades$1,3522 min
6/4/2026, 8:36:03 PM56 trades$1,33510 min
6/25/2026, 6:05:49 PM6 trades$1,3304 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-16
06-04
06-13
06-21
06-26
07-07
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 671 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.9 / M12.3 / H32.8