@polinomics

#2,945,94651

0x454bd9b0655c03e38b08f8e45a01bb68de355b8b

~168d· 513 markets · 2028 tradesVol: $456,6592026-08-04 22:23:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (261/513)10.4/20
1.07x (win $82,585 / loss $77,353)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.58411/15
Sortino 0.8608.6/10
$+0.0321 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 71 (513 markets)10/10
88/164 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($9,110 / $10,818)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$163,042 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#24,560$1,784Vol: $433,737
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,485$-2,668Vol: $8,986
📈 ECONOMICS#644,629$-42Vol: $1,591
CRYPTO#1,208,399$-14Vol: $671
💰 FINANCE#58,184$9Vol: $417
🎭 CULTURE#601,634$-3Vol: $67
💻 TECH#201,951$-2Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,173
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$456,659
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
513
total markets
Trades
1524B / 504S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~168d

Periods

#2
Week
$770
Vol: $2,140
Month
$770
Vol: $2,140
All Time
$-1,173
Vol: $456,659

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
261W / 252L events
Realized PnL
$-1,173
Win Rate
51%
261W / 252L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$316
Avg Loss
$-317

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,467 (8.923771442212596% of PnL)

Top Winners

France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$4,000
Morocco leading at halftime?$3,393
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$3,074
Spurs vs. Knicks$2,446
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2,180
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2,070
Norway vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$1,965
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$1,872
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score$1,709
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$1,692

Top Losers

Knicks vs. Spurs$-3,482
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?$-2,941
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2,676
France leading at halftime?$-2,315
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$-2,284
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$-2,189
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-2,027
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-2,004
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?$-1,764
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$-1,732

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.030
Sortino
0.038
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 280s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)41.3%
High (>55c)51.4%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 11:08:25 PM5 trades$8,1661 min
5/7/2026, 6:44:24 PM9 trades$4,2184 min
7/9/2026, 6:57:07 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
6/24/2026, 10:02:34 PM2 trades$2,9760 min
5/14/2026, 9:28:19 PM8 trades$2,9278 min
6/27/2026, 11:17:02 PM2 trades$2,9000 min
7/3/2025, 6:27:13 PM1 trades$2,8960 min
10/29/2024, 3:26:40 PM22 trades$2,6811 min
6/22/2026, 7:50:29 PM2 trades$2,6000 min
6/24/2026, 12:52:31 PM13 trades$2,4830 min
6/22/2026, 3:50:35 PM1 trades$2,3280 min
7/2/2026, 10:26:14 PM2 trades$2,3250 min
6/26/2026, 1:18:58 AM11 trades$2,2640 min
5/4/2026, 3:46:18 PM9 trades$2,2389 min
5/30/2026, 8:15:28 PM5 trades$2,2020 min
6/26/2026, 6:42:52 PM2 trades$1,9500 min
5/30/2026, 2:48:18 PM4 trades$1,9120 min
5/3/2026, 1:15:42 PM18 trades$1,9125 min
5/3/2026, 1:38:10 PM18 trades$1,8849 min
5/16/2026, 6:54:35 PM26 trades$1,85511 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
12-04
01-20
02-22
05-09
06-09
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 126 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.3 / M41.3 / H51.4