@0x45cDF2…0647

#2,715,3027

0x45cdf20614a9fd73b859c7f21416fc77b3fb14dd

~5d· 14 markets · 69 tradesVol: $22,6312026-08-05 16:35:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (2/11)0/20
1.03x (win $710 / loss $693)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0243 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 5749 (11 markets)0/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($673 / $690)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#214,071$5Vol: $18,922
💰 FINANCE#639,492$-156Vol: $3,348
⚽ SPORTS#1,346,067$-10Vol: $22
📈 ECONOMICS#52,588$6Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-204
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,631
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
20B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $0
Month
$-32
Vol: $0
All Time
$-204
Vol: $22,631

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-198
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$355
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $710 (3.5962239319700346% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$698
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-200
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-137
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$-110
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?$-100
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?$-100
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$-18
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA$-10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$-10
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.008
Sortino
0.014
HHI
749
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
4.2%
Half-Kelly
2.1%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
53.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
6
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 178s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern6/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.09
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)5%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 5:22:06 PM25 trades$17,28912 min
6/21/2026, 10:04:37 PM26 trades$1,8683 min
6/21/2026, 9:59:14 PM11 trades$1,2390 min
4/5/2026, 4:53:43 AM2 trades$3850 min
3/31/2026, 11:43:45 AM3 trades$307 min
3/15/2026, 11:47:53 PM2 trades$205 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
03-31
04-05
04-21
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 77 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65 / M30 / H5