@0x45d6…861e

4

0x45d61b75389a9fd9426e2dc48161dc12018a861e

~7d· 13 markets · 66 trades2026-08-05 00:13:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (1/12)0/20
0.27x (win $314 / loss $1,181)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.4810/15
Sortino -11.8570/10
$-0.6866 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1617 (12 markets)4.4/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($867 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-782
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,263
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
24B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
1W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-782
Win Rate
8%
1W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$314
Avg Loss
$-107

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $314 (0.4007718948484965% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Scotland win?$314

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-395
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$-200
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-197
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$-100
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$-100
Will Italy win?$-74
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?$-41
Will Italy win?$-24
Will the match end in a draw?$-21
Will the match end in a draw?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.653
Sortino
-0.948
HHI
1775
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.634
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.3%
Top-5 markets
78.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)83.3%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)0%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 5:11:50 PM40 trades$8911 min
2/14/2026, 7:42:37 PM1 trades$3990 min
1/29/2026, 5:45:24 AM1 trades$2000 min
3/6/2026, 6:12:15 PM2 trades$2000 min
2/1/2026, 3:22:32 PM1 trades$1980 min
1/11/2026, 3:15:34 AM1 trades$1970 min
3/7/2026, 4:39:37 PM2 trades$1200 min
2/14/2026, 2:12:51 PM5 trades$974 min
2/14/2026, 4:33:57 PM10 trades$946 min
3/7/2026, 5:00:25 PM1 trades$760 min
2/14/2026, 4:07:29 PM2 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
01-29
02-01
02-14
03-06
03-07
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.3 / M16.7 / H0