merch

@merch

#39,98880

0x45e856f0023259664606b6c370e82d072b24cc6c

~203d· 279 markets · 2162 tradesVol: $320,2462026-08-04 19:57:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (180/253)20/20
1.42x (win $29,787 / loss $20,973)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.80515/15
Sortino 2.25110/10
$+0.0495 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 174 (253 markets)10/10
90/131 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($7,391 / $16,096)4.8/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+2,808
DCA Master
Avg 9.1 entries/market
Whale
$178,046 invested
Consistent
90/131 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,313$-2,128Vol: $168,829
SPORTS#12,340$3,644Vol: $103,896
💰 FINANCE#17,824$103Vol: $21,478
🎭 CULTURE#6,326$714Vol: $12,563
📈 ECONOMICS#673,094$-327Vol: $5,244
💻 TECH#3,246$276Vol: $2,945
CRYPTO#135,860$43Vol: $600
🌤️ WEATHER#17,875$17Vol: $548
📢 MENTIONS#127,206$-10Vol: $120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,808
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$320,246
Total Redeem
$2,917
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
279
total markets
Trades
1204B / 958S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~203d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$20
Vol: $0
Month
$52
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,808
Vol: $320,246

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
180W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$2,808
Win Rate
71%
180W / 73L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$165
Avg Loss
$-295

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,476 (1.5943686553873555% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,554
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1,499
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1,423
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1,296
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1,196
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1,152
Will Trump pick Kash Patel for Director of the FBI?$1,095
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$992
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$864
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?$680

Top Losers

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-5,811
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$-1,608
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-1,488
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,418
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$-1,266
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,248
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-779
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-712
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$-645
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-580

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.094
Sortino
0.071
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
21.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 366s — normal for humanCV 1.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)87.3%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 2:57:34 AM31 trades$9,1237 min
6/28/2026, 2:20:59 PM35 trades$5,8879 min
4/2/2026, 12:26:39 AM8 trades$5,3704 min
4/7/2026, 10:37:09 PM31 trades$5,06610 min
10/26/2025, 9:42:05 PM1 trades$3,9160 min
7/20/2026, 2:19:24 AM6 trades$3,7920 min
5/19/2026, 3:24:13 PM24 trades$3,08413 min
5/2/2026, 3:53:10 AM19 trades$3,0252 min
11/4/2024, 8:20:37 PM3 trades$2,9389 min
5/23/2026, 3:07:29 AM27 trades$2,9313 min
11/23/2025, 5:18:59 AM3 trades$2,9041 min
4/5/2026, 4:13:35 AM3 trades$2,7921 min
5/23/2026, 7:39:00 PM29 trades$2,7242 min
4/5/2026, 3:12:53 AM3 trades$2,4340 min
6/2/2026, 11:39:32 PM19 trades$2,3265 min
12/7/2025, 2:24:39 PM2 trades$2,3225 min
5/19/2026, 11:56:18 PM1 trades$2,2920 min
4/11/2026, 3:23:49 AM12 trades$2,2228 min
5/22/2026, 10:34:06 PM27 trades$2,1889 min
10/26/2025, 8:06:21 PM3 trades$2,1038 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-06
01-20
09-05
11-30
03-28
05-05
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M10.2 / H87.3