@0x461a3e…1882

#196,56659

0x461a3ead1174a0d46271fb635f0a373ac4c41a5a

~31d· 24 markets · 105 tradesVol: $4,5652026-08-04 18:56:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (5/15)1.7/20
2.25x (win $263 / loss $117)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.22515/15
Sortino 9.52110/10
$+0.2808 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2172 (15 markets)1.6/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($80 / $188)5.5/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+151
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#48,720$170Vol: $3,644
⚽ SPORTS#1,453,035$-19Vol: $741
🎭 CULTURE#90,804$5Vol: $171
🌤️ WEATHER#216,553$-3Vol: $5
₿ CRYPTO#897,729$-1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,565
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
55B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $120
Month
$-1
Vol: $120
All Time
$151
Vol: $4,565

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
5W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$151
Win Rate
33%
5W / 10L
Profit Factor
2.25x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $251 (1.659556201294413% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$154
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$59
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$38
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$-10
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on June 4?$-6
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$-5
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-2
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.212
Sortino
0.423
HHI
434
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.569
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.9%
Top-5 markets
41.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 498s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)34.5%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 6:19:58 PM10 trades$2000 min
4/13/2026, 6:20:37 AM12 trades$1845 min
3/27/2026, 1:20:39 PM2 trades$1621 min
7/2/2026, 7:37:23 PM2 trades$1200 min
4/19/2026, 4:45:20 PM3 trades$740 min
5/17/2026, 3:36:38 PM4 trades$630 min
6/15/2026, 8:10:39 AM2 trades$450 min
5/4/2026, 11:10:14 AM2 trades$400 min
6/10/2026, 7:54:55 AM2 trades$390 min
7/21/2026, 2:27:28 PM2 trades$390 min
7/4/2026, 10:40:04 AM2 trades$360 min
5/4/2026, 11:46:24 AM8 trades$302 min
6/26/2026, 6:16:08 PM2 trades$300 min
3/16/2026, 9:14:57 AM1 trades$210 min
7/2/2026, 3:48:26 PM2 trades$200 min
6/4/2026, 6:18:34 AM4 trades$171 min
7/18/2026, 10:37:21 PM2 trades$140 min
6/9/2026, 9:43:13 PM2 trades$140 min
6/26/2026, 6:57:50 PM3 trades$120 min
7/7/2026, 12:01:04 PM3 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-22
05-19
06-09
06-26
07-04
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.1 / M16.4 / H34.5