@el-pivot

#2,733,18282

0x462d8b1acc99a9ba03d6bf86a03e62fb43e9b31d

~15d· 26 markets · 172 tradesVol: $7,2422026-08-05 15:51:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (6/10)15/20
17.41x (win $355 / loss $20)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.52615/15
Sortino 164.59310/10
$+0.2393 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 4589 (10 markets)0/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($14 / $335)10/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 60%
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 4%

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,268$-106Vol: $3,135
💰 FINANCE#600,962$-23Vol: $1,087
🌤️ WEATHER#265,236$-25Vol: $971
⚽ SPORTS#1,530,934$-32Vol: $750
🎭 CULTURE#738,372$-25Vol: $605
💻 TECH#207,135$-3Vol: $271
₿ CRYPTO#1,084,001$-7Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-225
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,242
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
91B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $533
Week
$-17
Vol: $831
Month
$-30
Vol: $936
All Time
$-225
Vol: $7,242

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
6W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-225
Win Rate
60%
6W / 4L
Profit Factor
17.41x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $339 (1.5074182658137882% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?$309
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$15
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?$15
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$14
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4?$1
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$-15
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?$-1
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.413
Sortino
6.994
HHI
1108
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.494
Kelly %
42.2%
Half-Kelly
21.1%
Top-1 market
32.7%
Top-5 markets
43.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
50%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 302s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)50% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)70.3%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 8:50:16 AM21 trades$6503 min
7/19/2026, 6:48:31 AM15 trades$3755 min
7/28/2026, 5:17:33 AM10 trades$1743 min
7/28/2026, 10:32:59 AM3 trades$1351 min
8/5/2026, 5:17:42 AM3 trades$831 min
7/31/2026, 12:58:39 PM10 trades$716 min
7/28/2026, 2:26:49 AM7 trades$671 min
7/24/2026, 12:38:10 AM6 trades$572 min
8/4/2026, 12:37:18 AM3 trades$553 min
8/3/2026, 1:20:11 PM5 trades$534 min
7/5/2026, 9:07:49 PM5 trades$402 min
7/26/2026, 2:38:51 AM3 trades$361 min
8/4/2026, 7:49:51 AM3 trades$353 min
7/26/2026, 9:31:04 PM4 trades$341 min
7/2/2026, 4:39:53 AM3 trades$330 min
7/5/2026, 12:04:49 PM3 trades$324 min
7/31/2026, 4:24:48 AM3 trades$311 min
7/5/2026, 1:06:52 AM4 trades$280 min
7/2/2026, 5:40:10 AM3 trades$270 min
7/23/2026, 1:53:31 AM2 trades$260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
07-18
07-24
07-26
07-27
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M28.6 / H70.3