@bigfish3
#2,775,233200x4639b681cea1e7ecacccb82f1342236b62103e8c
~34d· 30 markets · 129 tradesVol: $10,2242026-08-05 00:39:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (16/30)11.7/20
0.35x (win $298 / loss $844)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0830/15
Sortino -4.2730/10
$-0.4655 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1468 (30 markets)5.2/10
8/19 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 3406% of peak ($563 / $17)0/10
Badges
4Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
2🎭 CULTURE#797,058$-230Vol: $5,719
🏛️ POLITICS#1,483,030$-61Vol: $4,505
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-291
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,224
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
75B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
Periods
#2Month
$-2
Vol: $15
All Time
$-291
Vol: $10,224
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
16W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-291
Win Rate
53%
16W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-65
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $284 (0.9747030960389922% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$207
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$69
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?$8
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$6
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$5
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$0
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0
Top Losers
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$-356
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-206
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?$-68
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$-51
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?$-44
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-43
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?$-19
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$-17
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?$-15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.208
Sortino
-0.167
HHI
2196
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.377
Kelly %
9.5%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
30.8%
Top-5 markets
95.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1558s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)28%
High (>55c)42.7%
Sessions
#125/10/2026, 8:02:43 AM5 trades$3690 min
5/9/2026, 4:34:26 PM7 trades$3045 min
5/9/2026, 4:22:02 PM5 trades$1462 min
5/10/2026, 4:36:15 PM3 trades$1420 min
5/10/2026, 5:26:38 PM5 trades$1320 min
5/10/2026, 3:32:12 PM4 trades$780 min
7/20/2026, 5:34:18 PM2 trades$600 min
5/5/2026, 8:41:02 AM1 trades$540 min
5/6/2026, 5:57:50 AM1 trades$460 min
1/23/2026, 9:40:18 PM3 trades$400 min
6/2/2026, 7:38:35 AM1 trades$330 min
5/10/2026, 5:12:13 PM4 trades$327 min
5/23/2026, 8:14:52 PM1 trades$320 min
1/27/2026, 11:18:31 AM1 trades$320 min
1/28/2026, 10:32:19 AM1 trades$310 min
5/10/2026, 3:42:56 PM4 trades$300 min
5/9/2026, 7:48:16 PM1 trades$270 min
1/21/2026, 7:48:04 AM1 trades$270 min
5/10/2026, 10:04:08 AM6 trades$262 min
5/28/2026, 2:04:14 PM1 trades$260 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
01-31
05-09
06-02
07-03
07-20
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 83 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.3 / M28 / H42.7