@Juanmamorales

#2,804,90140

0x46539dfd027f793a3e1af7db6b663ffd9eb1021b

~17d· 41 markets · 193 tradesVol: $47,3262026-08-04 22:09:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (32/41)20/20
0.71x (win $6,293 / loss $8,888)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8480/15
Sortino -3.1720/10
$-0.0727 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 367 (41 markets)10/10
11/16 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 194% of peak ($5,363 / $2,768)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 78%
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Consistent
11/16 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,811,138$-685Vol: $43,808
🏛️ POLITICS#34,609$323Vol: $3,345
🌤️ WEATHER#24,401$9Vol: $173

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-353
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,326
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
60B / 133S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
32W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-353
Win Rate
78%
32W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$197
Avg Loss
$-1,481

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,410 (3.9961748788711637% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$936
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Algeria?$239
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$235
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?$218
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti?$218
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan?$212
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?$212
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?$212
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?$212
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$212

Top Losers

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?$-1,936
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$-1,700
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?$-1,659
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-1,300
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?$-1,233
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?$-1,060

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.144
Sortino
-0.210
HHI
376
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
26.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.38
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10353s — normal for humanCV 0.38 — uniform order sizes44% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.07
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)96.7%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 9:29:12 PM7 trades$2,2911 min
4/2/2026, 4:03:13 AM2 trades$2,0790 min
6/23/2026, 3:49:23 AM2 trades$1,8370 min
6/13/2026, 5:45:09 AM2 trades$1,7930 min
5/16/2026, 12:56:17 AM2 trades$1,7110 min
6/20/2026, 5:25:44 PM2 trades$1,7030 min
6/19/2026, 11:39:08 PM7 trades$1,6782 min
6/18/2026, 11:38:26 PM2 trades$1,5100 min
6/18/2026, 12:49:02 PM4 trades$1,5031 min
6/20/2026, 4:57:25 PM4 trades$1,4920 min
6/18/2026, 8:43:07 PM3 trades$1,4510 min
6/24/2026, 12:43:40 AM13 trades$1,4494 min
6/15/2026, 11:09:16 PM2 trades$1,4100 min
6/21/2026, 4:40:58 AM2 trades$1,4100 min
6/23/2026, 1:09:28 AM2 trades$1,3940 min
6/23/2026, 5:44:08 PM3 trades$1,3940 min
6/16/2026, 11:43:59 PM2 trades$1,3400 min
6/21/2026, 2:03:55 AM2 trades$1,3080 min
6/18/2026, 9:02:07 PM5 trades$1,2280 min
6/8/2026, 9:23:01 PM4 trades$1,2210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-02
06-13
06-15
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M3.3 / H96.7