@0x46763E…5541

#2,909,12220

0x46763efe923365323210a6ad2c01dabcf15d6065

~50d· 62 markets · 214 tradesVol: $23,8032026-08-05 22:31:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (23/51)7.5/20
0.51x (win $1,433 / loss $2,828)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3810/15
Sortino -4.6550/10
$-0.2184 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 400 (51 markets)10/10
14/34 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 423% of peak ($1,827 / $432)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,302$-415Vol: $14,683
⚽ SPORTS#1,689,146$-108Vol: $3,361
₿ CRYPTO#1,543,877$-219Vol: $2,104
🎭 CULTURE#772,159$-71Vol: $1,249
💰 FINANCE#625,191$-67Vol: $995
📈 ECONOMICS#597,220$-10Vol: $768
🌤️ WEATHER#24,704$8Vol: $550
💻 TECH#9,209$43Vol: $93

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-839
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,803
Total Redeem
$334
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
97B / 117S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-30
Vol: $0
Month
$-45
Vol: $0
All Time
$-839
Vol: $23,803

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
23W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-839
Win Rate
45%
23W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$62
Avg Loss
$-109

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $670 (0.7982295191345374% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$332
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$172
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$166
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$145
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$141
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$61
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$35
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?$35

Top Losers

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-613
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-400
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-316
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-160
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?$-156
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-102
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?$-100
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$-100
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-100
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-90

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.226
Sortino
-0.218
HHI
515
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.201
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
40.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2170s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.8%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)44.3%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 5:59:27 AM1 trades$7320 min
6/29/2026, 7:08:59 PM4 trades$5500 min
4/21/2026, 3:51:10 PM10 trades$4790 min
4/17/2026, 1:40:34 PM7 trades$4791 min
3/8/2026, 11:22:11 AM2 trades$4060 min
3/1/2026, 5:37:03 PM1 trades$4000 min
4/23/2026, 8:56:34 PM7 trades$3980 min
6/17/2026, 5:14:49 PM5 trades$3140 min
3/2/2026, 8:55:11 PM2 trades$2930 min
5/31/2026, 1:03:54 PM7 trades$2820 min
5/18/2026, 5:23:17 PM3 trades$2630 min
4/23/2026, 3:57:06 PM3 trades$2460 min
3/4/2026, 11:15:03 AM2 trades$2451 min
5/29/2026, 11:37:59 AM2 trades$2430 min
6/18/2026, 2:49:05 PM3 trades$2270 min
4/18/2026, 8:31:06 PM4 trades$2051 min
3/4/2026, 9:54:19 AM1 trades$2000 min
3/4/2026, 6:52:27 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/4/2026, 10:00:41 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/5/2026, 2:15:31 PM1 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-07
03-23
04-04
04-17
05-01
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.8 / M27.8 / H44.3