sirrothko

@sirrothko

#3,070,68627

0x46f1567acfcaadf73999e1e14fc892473523701f

~87d· 1417 markets · 18054 tradesVol: $3,326,4222026-08-04 19:00:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (712/1412)10.2/20
0.90x (win $163,453 / loss $180,996)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8360/15
Sortino -1.6450/10
$-0.0319 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 128 (1412 markets)10/10
44/82 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 344% of peak ($32,914 / $9,563)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 12.8 entries/market
Whale
$549,561 invested
High Roller
$5,185/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#299,411$-38,643Vol: $2,403,653
💰 FINANCE#1,676$3,045Vol: $531,007
⚽ SPORTS#1,812,908$-713Vol: $122,086
🏛️ POLITICS#1,427,830$-33Vol: $4,971
₿ CRYPTO#797,430$-0Vol: $2,000
📢 MENTIONS#164,463$-103Vol: $1,600
🎭 CULTURE#93,695$5Vol: $77

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-38,255
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,326,422
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1417
total markets
Trades
12289B / 5765S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~87d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$50
Vol: $0
Month
$454
Vol: $0
All Time
$-38,255
Vol: $3,326,422

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
712W / 700L events
Realized PnL
$-38,255
Win Rate
50%
712W / 700L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$230
Avg Loss
$-274

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $55,853 (1.4600124428504584% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$44,313
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?$6,710
76ers vs. Celtics$4,830
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$4,395
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?$3,939
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?$2,811
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$2,490
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?$2,352
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$1,998
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5$1,800

Top Losers

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$-9,570
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$-8,236
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$-7,916
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?$-7,503
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)$-5,684
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?$-5,504
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$-5,312
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$-3,087
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$-2,994
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A$-2,820

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.082
HHI
95
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
15.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
170.3
Very active
Markets / Day
13.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.5m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 3.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock170 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.77
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)18.9%
High (>55c)76.9%

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 6:31:08 PM12 trades$19,9976 min
5/18/2026, 12:43:28 PM47 trades$8,7918 min
7/9/2026, 6:29:41 PM51 trades$7,97417 min
5/15/2026, 4:45:29 AM44 trades$7,53711 min
5/14/2026, 12:32:32 AM6 trades$7,3960 min
5/22/2026, 8:49:53 PM4 trades$6,1972 min
7/6/2026, 9:10:49 AM140 trades$5,29775 min
5/15/2026, 12:06:48 AM2 trades$5,2100 min
5/23/2026, 6:45:11 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/15/2026, 10:10:07 AM27 trades$4,7987 min
5/18/2026, 12:36:13 AM21 trades$4,7508 min
5/18/2026, 6:20:24 PM17 trades$4,6511 min
6/17/2026, 12:49:32 PM59 trades$4,49521 min
5/20/2026, 12:53:52 AM32 trades$4,3120 min
6/6/2026, 7:46:01 AM29 trades$4,2446 min
6/27/2026, 8:56:10 PM168 trades$4,19974 min
6/19/2026, 5:55:46 PM187 trades$4,16753 min
5/14/2026, 5:58:23 AM32 trades$4,1278 min
7/7/2026, 10:36:32 PM134 trades$4,0155 min
5/8/2026, 2:04:02 PM22 trades$3,9080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
05-08
05-21
06-09
06-22
07-06
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M18.9 / H76.9