@Guoshengqin

#2,323,86845

0x46fa17d95ffac57f9e919369ad964d0d74be949d

~56d· 328 markets · 365 tradesVol: $50,1072026-08-03 21:36:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

3% (9/325)0/20
1.26x (win $38 / loss $30)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.75914.2/15
Sortino 1.53310/10
$+0.1076 per $1 invested5.4/10
HHI 40 (325 markets)10/10
7/55 profitable days (13%)0/10
Max DD 78% of peak ($27 / $35)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
💰 FINANCE#584,292$-14Vol: $14,000
🌤️ WEATHER#251,416$-12Vol: $11,900
🎭 CULTURE#694,704$-11Vol: $10,750
⚽ SPORTS#1,145,551$-3Vol: $6,456
💻 TECH#197,102$-2Vol: $3,000
₿ CRYPTO#932,179$-2Vol: $2,000
🏛️ POLITICS#994,993$-2Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-46
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,107
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
328
total markets
Trades
47B / 318S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $3,000
Week
$-2
Vol: $3,000
Month
$-2
Vol: $3,000
All Time
$-46
Vol: $50,107

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
3%
9W / 316L events
Realized PnL
$-46
Win Rate
3%
9W / 316L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30 (0.6537958115183246% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$10
Lakers vs. Heat$10
Bucks vs. Jazz$10
Bucks vs. Suns$5
Cavaliers vs. Hornets$2
Spurs vs. Rockets$1
Celtics vs. Pistons$0
Pelicans vs. Rockets$0
Clippers vs. Bulls$0

Top Losers

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2
Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-2
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.078
HHI
1094
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.8%
Top-5 markets
51.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
80%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)80% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.08
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)87.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)10.6%

Sessions

#12
2/7/2026, 6:15:19 AM2 trades$1000 min
2/22/2026, 3:20:08 AM5 trades$1001 min
2/12/2026, 4:57:51 AM8 trades$802 min
2/21/2026, 4:18:36 AM7 trades$801 min
3/4/2026, 3:56:53 AM8 trades$801 min
2/5/2026, 5:04:21 AM5 trades$751 min
2/4/2026, 3:17:32 AM7 trades$711 min
2/11/2026, 5:23:41 AM3 trades$700 min
2/25/2026, 3:38:12 AM7 trades$701 min
3/6/2026, 4:38:17 AM7 trades$701 min
3/11/2026, 3:17:59 AM7 trades$701 min
3/20/2026, 3:28:01 AM7 trades$703 min
2/3/2026, 4:37:00 AM2 trades$680 min
2/2/2026, 4:44:56 AM2 trades$600 min
2/10/2026, 3:34:27 AM6 trades$602 min
3/17/2026, 2:48:15 AM6 trades$601 min
3/18/2026, 2:53:47 AM6 trades$601 min
3/21/2026, 3:44:13 AM6 trades$601 min
3/22/2026, 2:41:13 AM6 trades$601 min
3/24/2026, 3:15:29 AM6 trades$601 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
02-07
02-26
03-07
03-16
03-25
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
87.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.08/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87.2 / M2.1 / H10.6