@reedjoseph

#1,672,04930

0x46fd6d1f64f62b71962df0d068e23531bc29c880

~46d· 58 markets · 77 tradesVol: $12,0902026-08-05 03:20:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (42/58)20/20
0.46x (win $5 / loss $11)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5710/15
Sortino -1.5830/10
$-0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7041 (58 markets)0/10
32/45 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 1945% of peak ($10 / $1)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Consistent
32/45 profitable days
Win Streak
20 wins in a row

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#691,271$-10Vol: $10,373
₿ CRYPTO#334,498$3Vol: $1,181
📈 ECONOMICS#106,315$1Vol: $192
⚽ SPORTS#726,683$-0Vol: $126
🏛️ POLITICS#588,361$-0Vol: $110
💰 FINANCE#190,276$0Vol: $81
🌤️ WEATHER#155,039$-0Vol: $16
💻 TECH#106,866$0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,090
Total Redeem
$87
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
59B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6
Vol: $12,090

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
42W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-6
Win Rate
72%
42W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.3432343234323433% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?$1
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$0
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$0
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$0
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?$0

Top Losers

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?$-10
Will Stuttgart win the Bundesliga?$-0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-0
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-0
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?$-0
Will Oregon win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$-0
Will Jalen Milroe be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$-0
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025?$-0
Will the New Democratic Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
5964
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
59.6%
Half-Kelly
29.8%
Top-1 market
77.1%
Top-5 markets
81.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.8h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12408s — normal for humanCV 5.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.38
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2025, 1:31:39 PM1 trades$5,1420 min
4/12/2025, 1:51:35 PM1 trades$5,1320 min
6/27/2026, 3:59:22 PM2 trades$1880 min
5/27/2026, 11:07:25 PM2 trades$1150 min
1/28/2026, 7:11:19 AM1 trades$790 min
7/28/2026, 6:00:18 AM2 trades$750 min
4/26/2026, 12:54:22 PM2 trades$720 min
5/28/2026, 3:52:07 AM2 trades$720 min
7/28/2025, 1:05:14 PM1 trades$610 min
10/28/2025, 12:05:07 PM1 trades$580 min
3/27/2026, 9:31:57 AM1 trades$530 min
2/26/2026, 12:44:48 AM1 trades$530 min
12/26/2025, 9:02:03 PM1 trades$490 min
9/26/2025, 3:41:52 PM1 trades$490 min
11/27/2025, 11:52:37 PM1 trades$480 min
8/28/2025, 5:04:27 PM1 trades$470 min
7/28/2026, 6:14:19 AM2 trades$460 min
6/25/2025, 9:48:15 PM1 trades$420 min
6/26/2025, 8:16:13 PM1 trades$390 min
1/18/2025, 6:18:07 PM1 trades$340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
03-07
04-26
06-26
10-28
02-26
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100