@0x470f…e804

#2,872,5859

0x470fbc2567876a00caf6838e961dffb924a5e804

~13d· 49 markets · 242 tradesVol: $19,5422026-08-04 23:42:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

4% (2/49)0/20
0.14x (win $210 / loss $1,502)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.8810/15
Sortino -9.4750/10
$-0.8850 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 651 (49 markets)9.2/10
1/13 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 10934% of peak ($1,303 / $12)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,715,718$-147Vol: $10,428
🏛️ POLITICS#1,593,629$-428Vol: $6,808
₿ CRYPTO#1,104,164$-8Vol: $2,120
🎭 CULTURE#642,494$-5Vol: $110
💰 FINANCE#575,884$-11Vol: $76

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-598
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,542
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
69B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
4%
2W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-598
Win Rate
4%
2W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (0.3515916116634639% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5$163
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$47

Top Losers

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-349
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?$-228
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5$-120
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5$-72
Will voter turnout be 52-56% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-54
Norway vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 2.5$-48
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$-42
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5$-40
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-35
Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-33

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.547
Sortino
-0.540
HHI
1107
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.837
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.7%
Top-5 markets
58.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 2.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)10.1%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 2:19:46 PM34 trades$2,6295 min
6/20/2026, 4:54:58 PM7 trades$1,6001 min
6/19/2026, 4:10:34 PM16 trades$1,1656 min
7/14/2026, 5:53:20 PM12 trades$9315 min
6/19/2026, 4:49:01 PM19 trades$8902 min
6/21/2026, 2:00:17 AM2 trades$7280 min
6/20/2026, 8:00:10 PM4 trades$5101 min
6/21/2026, 6:03:47 PM14 trades$5038 min
5/31/2026, 7:00:59 AM17 trades$4124 min
6/19/2026, 6:56:10 PM13 trades$3922 min
6/20/2026, 6:02:05 PM8 trades$3701 min
6/21/2026, 12:55:25 AM8 trades$3305 min
6/21/2026, 5:33:41 PM6 trades$2523 min
6/19/2026, 7:56:32 PM6 trades$1450 min
6/21/2026, 5:10:16 PM3 trades$1250 min
7/19/2026, 6:25:49 PM2 trades$1010 min
7/11/2026, 10:10:20 PM3 trades$1000 min
6/19/2026, 9:13:22 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/21/2026, 12:02:04 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/20/2026, 11:20:01 PM3 trades$980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-19
06-21
06-30
07-07
07-11
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.7 / M10.1 / H10.1