@0x474a…c816

#204,01543

0x474a676f101c6fe4938ed053656cf9bbc443c816

~103d· 226 markets · 1982 tradesVol: $17,0432026-08-05 16:35:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (87/173)10.1/20
1.13x (win $1,321 / loss $1,172)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3957.4/15
Sortino 0.6326.3/10
$+0.0767 per $1 invested3.8/10
HHI 1292 (173 markets)6/10
38/78 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($438 / $586)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+130
DCA Master
Avg 10.3 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#47,573$179Vol: $12,044
📈 ECONOMICS#660,627$-101Vol: $3,712
🎭 CULTURE#648,153$-5Vol: $653
⚽ SPORTS#199,503$31Vol: $327
₿ CRYPTO#148,747$34Vol: $206
💰 FINANCE#396,851$-0Vol: $84
📢 MENTIONS#57,597$0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,043
Total Redeem
$158
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
226
total markets
Trades
708B / 1274S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~103d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $4
Week
$11
Vol: $4
Month
$12
Vol: $4
All Time
$139
Vol: $17,043

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
86W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$130
Win Rate
50%
86W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $891 (6.849034838114281% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$518
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$228
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$145
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$128
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$111
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$57
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$21
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$20
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$12

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-272
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-239
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-180
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-92
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$-75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-65
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-31
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-19
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.024
HHI
2009
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
7.7%
Half-Kelly
3.8%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
88.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 284s — normal for humanCV 2.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.3%
High (>55c)54.9%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2026, 2:50:22 PM4 trades$8940 min
5/10/2026, 8:08:39 PM12 trades$5605 min
4/3/2026, 6:12:21 PM10 trades$3451 min
3/31/2026, 10:18:05 PM3 trades$2530 min
6/18/2026, 2:50:52 PM2 trades$2180 min
5/11/2026, 3:58:38 AM5 trades$1751 min
5/25/2026, 9:36:15 PM3 trades$1490 min
6/18/2026, 5:03:43 PM4 trades$1412 min
4/3/2026, 6:52:15 PM2 trades$1350 min
6/18/2026, 4:52:58 PM2 trades$1130 min
4/5/2026, 1:35:27 PM17 trades$1107 min
6/18/2026, 10:01:04 PM6 trades$950 min
4/3/2026, 6:45:17 PM3 trades$910 min
6/20/2026, 1:16:47 PM11 trades$877 min
5/10/2026, 9:15:16 PM2 trades$860 min
6/22/2026, 3:23:47 AM2 trades$820 min
4/6/2026, 3:43:59 PM8 trades$783 min
5/20/2026, 4:57:32 AM2 trades$720 min
7/1/2026, 10:01:23 PM2 trades$710 min
4/6/2026, 6:50:39 AM8 trades$682 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-18
04-03
04-21
05-07
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.7 / M20.3 / H54.9