cristinathearena

@cristinathearena

#26,62974

0x475a58906a8ec2b0cc20b1a5be1c4c72e46886ab

~167d· 5786 markets · 43513 tradesVol: $1,531,5142026-08-03 19:46:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (1222/5691)0/20
3.22x (win $14,688 / loss $4,556)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.30815/15
Sortino 57.47310/10
$+1.2186 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 19 (5691 markets)10/10
75/164 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($546 / $10,299)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+4,716
Lottery Player
92% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#20,667$2,108Vol: $507,244
CRYPTO#128,258$50Vol: $283,683
🏛️ POLITICS#20,502$809Vol: $176,249
🌤️ WEATHER#3,186$375Vol: $149,493
📢 MENTIONS#1,571$769Vol: $93,613
💰 FINANCE#11,327$230Vol: $59,721
🎭 CULTURE#15,115$173Vol: $44,942
📈 ECONOMICS#12,291$103Vol: $10,656
💻 TECH#9,705$39Vol: $9,693

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,714
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,531,514
Total Redeem
$43
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5786
total markets
Trades
34024B / 9489S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~167d

Periods

#2
Today
$-40
Vol: $7,894
Week
$-40
Vol: $9,079
Month
$157
Vol: $13,483
All Time
$4,714
Vol: $1,531,514

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
1222W / 4468L events
Realized PnL
$4,716
Win Rate
21%
1222W / 4468L
Profit Factor
3.22x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,338 (0.9199028765917744% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kirkin vs. Kopp: Match O/U 23.5$1,789
Kirkin vs. Kopp: Match O/U 21.5$1,574
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs Falcons - Game 2 Winner$975
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 21?$718
Overwatch: Cheeseburger vs Falcons (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage$395
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?$361
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$335
Will Castres Olympique win?$334
Eala vs. Linette: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$295
Alcorn State Braves vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions$251

Top Losers

Set 1 Winner: Guerrieri vs Tseng$-90
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.173
Sortino
2.777
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.236
Kelly %
6.6%
Half-Kelly
3.3%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
260.6
Very active
Markets / Day
34.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.1m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
48 min
Avg Trades / Session
122.7

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 3.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock261 trades/day — automation35 markets/day — mass coverage99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.7%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)8.2%

Sessions

#12
2/25/2026, 1:42:04 AM765 trades$523191 min
3/16/2026, 9:44:19 AM43 trades$26129 min
3/14/2026, 5:40:19 PM471 trades$252160 min
5/30/2026, 4:25:01 AM2 trades$1710 min
5/8/2026, 3:29:14 PM63 trades$13921 min
5/3/2026, 8:14:10 PM6 trades$12311 min
3/4/2026, 1:55:07 PM517 trades$119178 min
3/21/2026, 10:40:33 AM2 trades$1003 min
4/30/2026, 7:17:12 PM1 trades$990 min
5/5/2026, 7:11:36 PM14 trades$9012 min
3/13/2026, 3:20:33 AM97 trades$8241 min
3/2/2026, 3:00:15 AM257 trades$8293 min
3/2/2026, 8:43:53 PM150 trades$7979 min
4/23/2026, 3:51:00 PM2 trades$780 min
2/26/2026, 7:33:20 PM175 trades$7382 min
2/20/2026, 1:34:54 AM252 trades$7266 min
3/3/2026, 4:58:53 PM324 trades$71205 min
2/27/2026, 1:02:51 PM169 trades$6846 min
3/2/2026, 10:37:53 PM195 trades$6669 min
3/13/2026, 9:03:17 PM162 trades$6657 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
03-17
04-13
05-10
06-07
07-04
08-02
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.52/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.7 / M0.1 / H8.2