@HumbleBee12

#2,599,19967

0x4768296a220e85b99c8527d815d491892ad1f198

~41d· 833 markets · 2264 tradesVol: $16,4712026-08-04 23:28:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (336/815)5.6/20
1.16x (win $1,934 / loss $1,662)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.29215/15
Sortino 12.25310/10
$+0.1419 per $1 invested7.1/10
HHI 436 (815 markets)10/10
22/40 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($75 / $300)9/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,344,224$-16Vol: $5,000
⚽ SPORTS#1,558,050$-39Vol: $4,899
💰 FINANCE#546,818$-5Vol: $3,412
🎭 CULTURE#625,662$-4Vol: $723
📈 ECONOMICS#551,380$-3Vol: $199
₿ CRYPTO#1,076,878$-6Vol: $124
💻 TECH#81,593$0Vol: $85
🌤️ WEATHER#172,474$-0Vol: $67

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-116
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,471
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
833
total markets
Trades
1053B / 1211S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-116
Vol: $16,471

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
336W / 479L events
Realized PnL
$-116
Win Rate
41%
336W / 479L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $491 (4.227276643404842% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$239
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$129
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$122
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$63
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5$21
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$18
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$17
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5$16
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$15

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-68
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$-34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$-21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$-19
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?$-16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-13
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$-13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$-13
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.170
Sortino
0.593
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.143
Kelly %
1.7%
Half-Kelly
0.8%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
5.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.4
Active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.3m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 828s — normal for humanCV 0.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active6.0 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)56.7%
High (>55c)30.4%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 4:18:55 PM162 trades$2,6026 min
6/15/2026, 9:01:37 PM54 trades$4227 min
6/15/2026, 8:50:07 PM54 trades$2484 min
6/17/2026, 8:30:02 PM52 trades$1914 min
6/15/2026, 5:22:13 PM33 trades$1775 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:00 PM24 trades$1700 min
6/16/2026, 7:34:35 PM24 trades$1651 min
6/28/2026, 3:29:05 AM30 trades$1461 min
6/21/2026, 8:34:23 PM22 trades$1181 min
6/16/2026, 7:44:13 PM24 trades$1040 min
6/25/2026, 8:34:40 PM13 trades$862 min
6/26/2026, 10:29:53 PM5 trades$800 min
6/16/2026, 2:25:01 PM14 trades$631 min
6/27/2026, 12:39:32 AM5 trades$560 min
5/10/2026, 9:48:59 PM22 trades$496 min
6/16/2026, 5:20:54 AM8 trades$420 min
6/17/2026, 7:46:11 AM2 trades$420 min
5/9/2026, 12:40:32 AM8 trades$414 min
6/17/2026, 9:34:08 PM5 trades$410 min
6/18/2026, 8:37:23 PM4 trades$390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
05-07
05-13
05-19
05-26
06-18
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 88 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L12.9 / M56.7 / H30.4