@0x477df2…4803

#65,23740

0x477df235b7d1223f0664682ff385e62ffedafbb6

~130d· 2249 markets · 5274 tradesVol: $806,2012026-08-04 17:18:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

96% (2149/2248)20/20
0.27x (win $2,017 / loss $7,497)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3440/15
Sortino -2.3310/10
$-0.0144 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 11 (2248 markets)10/10
114/127 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 10055% of peak ($5,795 / $58)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+1,466
Diamond Hands
2% sells
Whale
$380,753 invested
Consistent
114/127 profitable days
Win Streak
84 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#1,215$1,476Vol: $805,992
SPORTS#1,208,741$-5Vol: $132
CRYPTO#1,064,581$-6Vol: $77

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,466
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$806,201
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2249
total markets
Trades
5193B / 81S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $974
Week
$6
Vol: $5,669
Month
$29
Vol: $6,118
All Time
$1,466
Vol: $806,201

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
96%
2149W / 99L events
Realized PnL
$1,466
Win Rate
96%
2149W / 99L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-192

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (0.023328488867964438% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 5?$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?$9
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?$9
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?$9
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?$9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 9?$9
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 6?$8
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?$8
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$8

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?$-672
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?$-483
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$-447
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?$-442
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 21?$-338
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 21?$-330
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?$-307
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 20?$-307
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20?$-306
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 20?$-306

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.9m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 386s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active4.6 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99.8%

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 7:43:26 PM6 trades$3,4713 min
5/5/2026, 7:28:00 PM13 trades$2,2241 min
5/13/2026, 3:22:22 PM10 trades$1,36516 min
4/2/2026, 10:34:13 AM11 trades$1,26019 min
4/30/2026, 10:47:36 AM5 trades$1,1313 min
6/9/2026, 10:00:37 AM12 trades$1,10710 min
3/22/2026, 10:25:51 AM9 trades$1,07513 min
5/1/2026, 10:05:34 AM4 trades$1,07511 min
6/14/2026, 4:17:19 PM19 trades$1,07017 min
6/18/2026, 10:18:34 AM4 trades$1,0588 min
5/10/2026, 3:27:15 PM8 trades$1,05510 min
6/9/2026, 4:02:43 PM16 trades$1,03511 min
6/19/2026, 4:04:56 PM10 trades$1,02611 min
4/27/2026, 10:59:02 AM3 trades$1,0220 min
5/8/2026, 9:55:36 AM5 trades$1,0033 min
4/29/2026, 4:00:32 PM8 trades$9908 min
3/21/2026, 10:14:15 PM12 trades$98521 min
6/11/2026, 5:13:57 PM12 trades$9806 min
5/3/2026, 12:33:06 AM6 trades$9703 min
5/15/2026, 9:49:49 AM5 trades$96814 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
03-14
04-04
05-12
06-15
07-06
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.1 / M0.1 / H99.8