@0x4781…16e6

21

0x4781fafdd57951fa6fda82627f11fe43675e16e6

~57d· 213 markets · 559 trades2026-08-05 00:11:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (102/211)9.2/20
0.79x (win $2,305 / loss $2,910)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4950/15
Sortino -2.0120/10
$-0.0719 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 201 (211 markets)10/10
21/54 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 4304% of peak ($895 / $21)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-557
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,421
Total Redeem
$104
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
213
total markets
Trades
311B / 248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
102W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$-557
Win Rate
48%
102W / 109L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $570 (1.0231439087889398% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$312
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$150
Will Solana reach $100 in May?$108
Games Total: O/U 2.5$96
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?$90
Games Total: O/U 2.5$89
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?$75
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner$69
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$60
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)$60

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?$-492
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$-252
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$-206
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-149
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner$-120
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-100
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$-82
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-80
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
214
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
25%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 660s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)41.2%
High (>55c)46%

Sessions

#12
2/26/2026, 4:29:42 PM3 trades$5051 min
2/26/2026, 4:19:16 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/26/2026, 5:10:30 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/27/2026, 4:20:06 AM1 trades$4000 min
3/15/2026, 3:50:09 PM1 trades$3160 min
3/15/2026, 1:54:09 PM1 trades$3150 min
2/27/2026, 11:43:57 AM1 trades$3030 min
2/27/2026, 11:09:49 AM1 trades$3000 min
3/21/2026, 1:04:27 PM1 trades$3000 min
3/21/2026, 3:21:23 PM1 trades$2920 min
5/1/2026, 9:48:34 AM6 trades$2901 min
2/26/2026, 6:33:02 PM2 trades$2730 min
3/2/2026, 1:14:17 PM5 trades$24112 min
3/19/2026, 9:21:43 PM1 trades$2370 min
2/26/2026, 6:18:12 PM1 trades$2280 min
3/21/2026, 2:41:01 PM2 trades$2190 min
3/20/2026, 5:05:59 PM2 trades$2061 min
2/27/2026, 12:59:25 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/20/2026, 4:50:11 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/21/2026, 2:11:09 PM2 trades$2001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-26
03-08
03-20
04-01
05-08
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M41.2 / H46