@brokemane

#137,19548

0x47dc47ddec224fef13c504edb2e7e1a86a8ec27e

~115d· 145 markets · 1284 tradesVol: $184,4052026-08-04 22:09:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (67/123)12.2/20
1.07x (win $13,746 / loss $12,887)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4989.3/15
Sortino 0.7267.3/10
$+0.0148 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 276 (123 markets)10/10
34/67 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 114% of peak ($3,975 / $3,492)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+336
DCA Master
Avg 10.5 entries/market
Whale
$57,872 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#24,763$594Vol: $175,740
SPORTS#1,739,714$-200Vol: $5,471
CRYPTO#1,383,570$-48Vol: $2,800
📈 ECONOMICS#21,664$35Vol: $235
🌤️ WEATHER#274,392$-44Vol: $159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$341
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$184,405
Total Redeem
$1,281
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
145
total markets
Trades
758B / 526S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$18
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $0
Month
$14
Vol: $0
All Time
$341
Vol: $184,405

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
67W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$336
Win Rate
54%
67W / 56L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$205
Avg Loss
$-234

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,882 (11.5443000327157% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1,770
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1,354
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$758
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$680
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?$564
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$541
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$524
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$476
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?$430
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$416

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,587
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$-1,107
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$-946
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$-707
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-700
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-620
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-587
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-584
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$-472
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$-410

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.033
HHI
294
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
28.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.54
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)69.4%

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 12:15:59 PM24 trades$3,82026 min
7/1/2026, 6:51:49 AM15 trades$2,6238 min
2/18/2026, 3:26:38 PM11 trades$2,08313 min
4/3/2026, 1:32:31 PM25 trades$1,6808 min
7/19/2026, 10:19:58 PM23 trades$1,6587 min
4/7/2026, 7:58:37 PM14 trades$1,5816 min
1/28/2026, 8:37:44 PM18 trades$1,52314 min
4/8/2026, 12:15:15 AM6 trades$1,4790 min
3/23/2026, 1:18:57 PM1 trades$1,4630 min
2/1/2026, 5:16:24 PM12 trades$1,45018 min
12/27/2025, 6:03:37 PM11 trades$1,38710 min
3/3/2026, 10:31:17 AM9 trades$1,30411 min
12/27/2025, 5:45:19 PM2 trades$1,3031 min
12/20/2025, 5:47:50 AM5 trades$1,26912 min
1/30/2026, 2:15:04 PM9 trades$1,17713 min
6/8/2026, 10:42:09 AM22 trades$1,1688 min
2/18/2026, 3:48:54 PM7 trades$1,1634 min
7/17/2026, 9:50:04 AM10 trades$1,0253 min
4/7/2026, 11:54:13 PM6 trades$9981 min
12/28/2025, 5:00:21 PM9 trades$97411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
12-24
01-13
02-04
03-05
04-17
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M24.1 / H69.4