PallMall

@PallMall

#2,834,11110

0x47ff8334e7bd10262da2c96b3bbb3ad975453cc4

~45d· 312 markets · 2208 tradesVol: $194,735 @MaximilianFSN2026-08-04 16:19:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (95/302)0.7/20
0.64x (win $1,268 / loss $1,974)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2700/15
Sortino -6.1370/10
$-0.1290 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 714 (302 markets)8.9/10
7/35 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 484% of peak ($890 / $184)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#773,760$-77Vol: $74,627
CRYPTO#160,277$28Vol: $68,261
SPORTS#1,780,243$-372Vol: $33,947
💰 FINANCE#81,608$4Vol: $6,188
🏛️ POLITICS#1,335,958$-15Vol: $4,686
📈 ECONOMICS#162,730$0Vol: $677
💻 TECH#168,972$-0Vol: $22
🌤️ WEATHER#177,166$-0Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-448
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$194,735
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
312
total markets
Trades
1456B / 752S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-448
Vol: $194,735

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
95W / 207L events
Realized PnL
$-448
Win Rate
31%
95W / 207L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $380 (0.8497643142774166% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$204
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?$77
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?$66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?$65
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojans$62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?$61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?$45
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?$41
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?$39

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?$-205
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-103
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?$-102
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-01-22?$-89
Red Wings vs. Wild$-83
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?$-81
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-55
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes$-49
Will CA Unión win on 2026-01-22?$-44
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Avangard Omsk$-43

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.272
Sortino
-0.349
HHI
128
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.125
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.5%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)24.2%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 10:27:13 AM12 trades$3,1240 min
6/15/2026, 7:13:18 AM13 trades$1,9481 min
6/28/2026, 12:26:11 PM9 trades$1,6671 min
6/11/2026, 7:28:46 PM16 trades$1,2913 min
7/11/2026, 10:50:05 PM15 trades$8672 min
7/12/2026, 12:00:59 AM17 trades$8002 min
7/26/2026, 4:13:18 PM22 trades$7830 min
5/21/2026, 12:25:53 AM8 trades$6032 min
6/4/2026, 1:23:21 PM11 trades$5701 min
1/21/2026, 9:16:22 PM63 trades$55161 min
5/18/2026, 9:15:36 AM7 trades$5390 min
7/12/2026, 3:34:11 AM21 trades$4887 min
7/12/2026, 1:51:02 AM2 trades$4640 min
7/21/2026, 7:58:15 AM15 trades$4441 min
7/11/2026, 11:12:53 PM17 trades$4274 min
7/11/2026, 11:04:37 PM15 trades$4202 min
7/6/2026, 5:17:04 AM8 trades$3970 min
7/6/2026, 9:18:22 PM7 trades$3940 min
7/3/2026, 7:16:23 AM6 trades$3802 min
6/4/2026, 9:58:01 AM12 trades$3562 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
01-16
01-21
06-05
06-15
07-03
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 191 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.5 / M31.2 / H24.2