SPMontreal

@SPMontreal

#22,79291

0x48265c557af172e7ba876fc2fd949904a94ad5c3

~109d· 123 markets · 731 tradesVol: $359,2582026-08-04 18:13:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (98/120)20/20
2.69x (win $14,881 / loss $5,540)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.10915/15
Sortino 8.23010/10
$+0.0422 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 219 (120 markets)10/10
57/68 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($2,300 / $9,341)9.1/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+5,715
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Whale
$221,447 invested
Consistent
57/68 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#9,783$2,612Vol: $243,569
📈 ECONOMICS#3,110$996Vol: $34,393
💰 FINANCE#7,280$467Vol: $33,918
🎭 CULTURE#14,035$197Vol: $21,465
💻 TECH#1,323$1,109Vol: $9,890
🌤️ WEATHER#284,786$-99Vol: $5,600
CRYPTO#60,206$237Vol: $4,440
SPORTS#218,835$23Vol: $1,974

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,715
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$359,258
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
123
total markets
Trades
252B / 479S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $31
Week
$17
Vol: $138
Month
$73
Vol: $148
All Time
$5,715
Vol: $359,258

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
98W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$5,715
Win Rate
82%
98W / 22L
Profit Factor
2.69x
Avg Win
$152
Avg Loss
$-308

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,722 (0.8261169286757823% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2,097
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1,405
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?$1,220
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$1,094
Will Trump nominate RFK for FDA Commissioner?$710
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$605
ICC issues an arrest warrant for Netanyahu?$505
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$502
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$328
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?$296

Top Losers

Will Biden pardon Fauci?$-1,926
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?$-1,118
Will Biden remove nicotine from cigarettes? $-962
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?$-603
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$-465
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?$-117
2025 January hottest on record?$-99

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.266
Sortino
0.190
HHI
173
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.041
Kelly %
37.4%
Half-Kelly
18.7%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
20.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 541s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.03
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)98.4%

Sessions

#12
12/3/2024, 5:55:50 PM6 trades$9,4647 min
4/21/2026, 6:52:58 PM6 trades$9,0081 min
2/24/2025, 9:33:34 PM7 trades$8,3248 min
4/1/2026, 10:59:43 PM11 trades$7,4251 min
4/2/2026, 4:55:37 PM40 trades$7,3224 min
5/5/2026, 10:34:56 PM12 trades$6,8400 min
12/20/2024, 9:17:58 AM2 trades$6,7235 min
4/28/2026, 12:40:36 AM2 trades$6,6930 min
5/6/2026, 10:33:22 AM20 trades$6,2050 min
2/2/2025, 3:18:34 PM5 trades$6,1518 min
5/6/2026, 12:32:08 AM33 trades$6,0380 min
6/12/2026, 6:49:42 PM3 trades$6,0170 min
6/12/2026, 7:17:15 PM2 trades$5,6710 min
4/13/2026, 12:38:15 PM2 trades$5,5780 min
6/15/2026, 7:45:27 PM11 trades$5,4910 min
4/1/2026, 1:36:05 PM29 trades$5,1139 min
2/13/2026, 3:56:17 PM2 trades$4,7053 min
11/19/2024, 11:36:15 AM4 trades$4,5218 min
11/12/2024, 10:56:35 PM3 trades$4,3747 min
4/30/2026, 3:09:42 AM10 trades$4,2780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
09-20
11-23
01-14
02-08
05-05
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M0.4 / H98.4