@0x4852e4…5709

#2,278,5640

0x4852e456e51f1db40c9a9c8aa3cf1a84a3e5bbb2

~29d· 45 markets · 66 tradesVol: $1,2422026-08-04 21:58:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (11/41)0/20
0.52x (win $53 / loss $101)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8390/15
Sortino -4.2450/10
$-0.3268 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5407 (41 markets)0/10
7/22 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 265% of peak ($77 / $29)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,482,689$-61Vol: $781
📈 ECONOMICS#475,704$-1Vol: $167
⚽ SPORTS#191,200$35Vol: $117
₿ CRYPTO#1,076,004$-6Vol: $95
🎭 CULTURE#702,888$-13Vol: $64
📢 MENTIONS#20,594$9Vol: $16
💻 TECH#189,627$-1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,242
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
50B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-39
Vol: $1,242

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
11W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-39
Win Rate
27%
11W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (0.839258114374034% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?$22
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $6
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?$5
Canada vs. USA$5
Bills vs. Chiefs$4
Chiefs vs. Steelers$3
Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?$3
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$2
Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?$1
Ethereum Up or Down on April 15?$1

Top Losers

Will Jonathan Treble be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?$-42
1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?$-12
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$-10
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?$-5
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$-5
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$-3
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?$-1
Rays vs. Yankees$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.196
Sortino
-0.208
HHI
954
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.361
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
49%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 296s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.44
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44%
Mid (20-55c)36%
High (>55c)20%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 5:58:00 PM7 trades$1111 min
7/20/2026, 1:08:12 PM2 trades$750 min
7/16/2026, 11:57:38 PM2 trades$360 min
7/17/2026, 7:10:54 PM3 trades$340 min
5/6/2026, 4:05:02 AM4 trades$200 min
4/15/2025, 2:58:13 PM1 trades$120 min
7/24/2025, 3:58:02 PM1 trades$100 min
6/22/2025, 7:58:40 AM3 trades$76 min
4/20/2025, 2:14:28 PM2 trades$63 min
12/25/2024, 1:34:08 PM1 trades$50 min
12/26/2024, 12:19:28 PM1 trades$50 min
1/22/2025, 1:59:21 PM1 trades$50 min
2/21/2025, 12:09:57 AM1 trades$50 min
4/9/2025, 11:46:43 PM2 trades$41 min
4/15/2025, 2:39:53 PM4 trades$411 min
12/25/2024, 2:05:50 PM3 trades$35 min
12/30/2024, 3:21:48 AM3 trades$34 min
4/14/2025, 12:41:56 PM1 trades$30 min
4/14/2025, 12:56:48 PM1 trades$30 min
2/8/2026, 3:03:07 AM2 trades$31 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
01-22
04-09
04-20
06-23
07-17
07-24
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 462 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44 / M36 / H20