@0x48D5cE…9705

#2,860,9009

0x48d5ce164dc6e641781c14dad34b2d697a5bec29

~18d· 76 markets · 812 tradesVol: $625,6932026-08-05 17:24:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (27/69)4.6/20
0.31x (win $2,738 / loss $8,716)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6590/15
Sortino -4.6150/10
$-0.3311 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1721 (69 markets)3.9/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 784% of peak ($6,852 / $874)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,579,422$-389Vol: $440,874
📈 ECONOMICS#669,687$-212Vol: $112,088
💰 FINANCE#11,210$235Vol: $63,832
⚽ SPORTS#1,716,425$-148Vol: $5,822
🏛️ POLITICS#1,396,824$-24Vol: $2,710
🎭 CULTURE#494,180$-1Vol: $137

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$625,693
Total Redeem
$19
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
340B / 472S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-538
Vol: $625,693

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
27W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-538
Win Rate
39%
27W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$101
Avg Loss
$-229

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,980 (3.677906587894326% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$1,371
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$315
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$294
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$232
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$84
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$35

Top Losers

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$-5,244
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$-875
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-778
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-400
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$-219
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-200
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-200
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$-134
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$-58

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-0.207
HHI
2815
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.321
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.6%
Top-5 markets
84%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.4m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 91s — normal for humanCV 2.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)37.6%

Sessions

#12
5/22/2026, 12:38:25 AM3 trades$15,0050 min
5/22/2026, 12:04:51 AM13 trades$14,5108 min
6/16/2026, 1:45:11 PM2 trades$8,3330 min
5/22/2026, 11:57:12 PM22 trades$7,8759 min
5/22/2026, 11:40:10 PM47 trades$7,8209 min
5/21/2026, 12:12:08 PM21 trades$7,6464 min
5/22/2026, 10:38:48 PM44 trades$6,89218 min
5/21/2026, 1:35:00 PM38 trades$4,2919 min
5/21/2026, 10:28:55 PM3 trades$2,9350 min
5/19/2026, 1:46:13 PM23 trades$2,9131 min
5/21/2026, 11:09:03 PM17 trades$2,56412 min
5/22/2026, 1:18:02 AM37 trades$1,97712 min
5/22/2026, 8:03:02 AM12 trades$1,8601 min
5/22/2026, 11:52:31 AM17 trades$1,8252 min
5/22/2026, 10:27:01 PM9 trades$1,6374 min
5/22/2026, 3:43:56 PM7 trades$1,4341 min
5/22/2026, 8:09:29 AM7 trades$1,0460 min
4/4/2026, 5:27:53 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/22/2026, 7:04:42 AM18 trades$9760 min
5/18/2026, 8:16:43 PM31 trades$9417 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-07
05-18
05-21
05-23
06-16
06-24
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.32/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.6 / M31.8 / H37.6