@grefdd

#134,28490

0x48b787463849c84467e0cda8a156a5617b5f6d53

~55d· 70 markets · 165 tradesVol: $139,7042026-08-05 15:51:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (56/62)20/20
27.16x (win $210 / loss $8)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.86515/15
Sortino 262.07910/10
$+0.0019 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 301 (62 markets)10/10
42/47 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($1 / $202)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+358
Whale
$107,340 invested
Consistent
42/47 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#98,340$97Vol: $90,898
🏛️ POLITICS#63,897$101Vol: $22,225
⚽ SPORTS#280,903$10Vol: $11,222
🌤️ WEATHER#9,153$64Vol: $5,200
📢 MENTIONS#10,011$42Vol: $4,481
💻 TECH#9,165$44Vol: $4,308
💰 FINANCE#122,638$1Vol: $1,370

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$358
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$139,704
Total Redeem
$12,891
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
94B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
56W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$358
Win Rate
90%
56W / 6L
Profit Factor
27.15x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $111 (0.3090980107691878% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$94
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 3?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 2?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 29?$4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on March 24?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 25?$3

Top Losers

Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$-4
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?$-1
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.304
Sortino
15.508
HHI
312
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
81.4%
Half-Kelly
40.7%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
27.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.8h
between trades
Night Trading
78%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5872s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)78% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.66
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.2%
High (>55c)84%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 12:55:45 AM2 trades$8,5810 min
4/6/2026, 12:50:45 AM5 trades$4,3030 min
4/4/2026, 1:30:29 AM2 trades$4,2990 min
4/1/2026, 9:16:49 AM2 trades$4,2910 min
3/30/2026, 7:27:54 AM1 trades$4,2070 min
3/30/2026, 1:00:40 AM1 trades$4,2030 min
3/28/2026, 1:04:59 AM1 trades$4,1980 min
3/26/2026, 1:14:25 AM1 trades$4,1900 min
3/25/2026, 1:04:33 AM3 trades$4,1860 min
3/23/2026, 7:36:35 AM1 trades$4,1820 min
3/22/2026, 1:18:23 AM2 trades$4,1770 min
1/1/2026, 1:13:53 AM2 trades$2,7430 min
3/12/2026, 9:07:03 AM2 trades$2,2801 min
12/31/2025, 1:21:13 AM1 trades$1,3750 min
1/5/2026, 1:00:01 AM1 trades$1,3750 min
12/30/2025, 12:48:51 AM1 trades$1,3740 min
1/3/2026, 1:54:59 AM1 trades$1,3740 min
12/29/2025, 7:44:37 AM1 trades$1,3730 min
1/1/2026, 10:45:45 AM1 trades$1,3730 min
12/29/2025, 12:59:17 AM2 trades$1,3710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-02
12-13
12-22
01-01
03-22
04-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M3.2 / H84