@moldovanin

#1,825,9357

0x48bb6d794a9f00d6723b6bdf0e335c4a8d3cbd40

~25d· 17 markets · 67 tradesVol: $20,3652026-08-04 21:04:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (6/17)2.6/20
0.09x (win $2 / loss $19)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.8790/15
Sortino -9.5260/10
$-0.0965 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1986 (17 markets)2.6/10
6/16 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 29667% of peak ($18 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,217,076$-7Vol: $14,706
💰 FINANCE#487,981$-2Vol: $3,782
🎭 CULTURE#570,593$-2Vol: $1,810
💻 TECH#50,736$1Vol: $44
🌤️ WEATHER#107,382$0Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,365
Total Redeem
$51
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
49B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-10
Vol: $20,365

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
6W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-10
Win Rate
35%
6W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.1565040650406504% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$1
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0
Will Seattle have between 4.5 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$0
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$0
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$0

Top Losers

Will LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-7
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$-3
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$-2
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 59 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-2
Will the Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-2
Will the Welsh Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$-1
Will Kevin Stitt replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?$-1
Will Nick Buckley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$-1
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on March 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.551
Sortino
-0.521
HHI
1958
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.2%
Top-5 markets
89.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
9.9h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 35762s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)77.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)22.4%

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 12:36:43 PM1 trades$330 min
3/28/2026, 2:26:03 PM1 trades$290 min
4/11/2026, 7:03:09 PM2 trades$260 min
4/19/2026, 3:36:40 PM1 trades$260 min
4/25/2026, 4:43:22 PM2 trades$240 min
6/28/2026, 9:20:40 PM2 trades$220 min
5/26/2026, 10:10:44 AM2 trades$220 min
4/8/2026, 5:02:29 PM12 trades$40 min
4/3/2026, 10:30:47 PM4 trades$30 min
5/14/2026, 5:42:58 PM2 trades$30 min
4/20/2026, 1:22:12 AM2 trades$30 min
5/24/2026, 8:08:06 PM2 trades$30 min
7/1/2026, 10:10:52 PM3 trades$20 min
4/16/2026, 11:01:36 PM13 trades$20 min
4/30/2026, 11:49:08 AM4 trades$20 min
3/23/2026, 2:10:21 PM1 trades$20 min
3/27/2026, 5:36:01 AM1 trades$20 min
3/23/2026, 6:41:35 PM1 trades$10 min
3/24/2026, 5:58:33 AM1 trades$10 min
3/24/2026, 5:51:15 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-27
04-08
04-16
04-20
05-06
05-24
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.82/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77.6 / M0 / H22.4