@0x48c1F5…3077

#2,939,18729

0x48c1f5cf0bc8e2ffa06f8ce4069935ce89e042e1

~15d· 38 markets · 84 tradesVol: $18,9332026-08-04 18:57:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (21/38)12.6/20
0.68x (win $1,946 / loss $2,856)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0610/15
Sortino -3.2880/10
$-0.2309 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 681 (38 markets)9.1/10
9/15 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 425% of peak ($1,700 / $400)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,265,991$-20Vol: $13,626
⚽ SPORTS#1,831,455$-1,086Vol: $5,307

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,933
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
63B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
21W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-271
Win Rate
55%
21W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-168

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,147 (4.235952565665522% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$500
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$455
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$192
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5$123
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$122
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$120
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$116
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$85
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5$63
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$41

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-1,280
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5$-400
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5$-373
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$-200
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-130
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$-120
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$-100
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$-100
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.155
Sortino
-0.129
HHI
725
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.214
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.2%
Top-5 markets
46.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 442s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)39.7%

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 2:57:49 AM3 trades$7854 min
3/4/2026, 3:57:35 AM3 trades$5165 min
6/19/2026, 11:55:40 PM2 trades$5100 min
6/25/2026, 3:16:32 PM4 trades$4680 min
6/19/2026, 12:23:56 AM4 trades$4651 min
6/17/2026, 6:39:20 AM2 trades$4210 min
6/24/2026, 11:03:53 PM2 trades$3860 min
6/21/2026, 5:54:01 AM2 trades$2630 min
6/18/2026, 1:04:02 AM2 trades$2170 min
7/4/2026, 6:10:11 PM3 trades$2110 min
3/2/2026, 8:52:13 AM9 trades$2065 min
3/4/2026, 3:28:01 AM1 trades$2000 min
3/6/2026, 10:29:13 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/24/2026, 11:34:11 PM2 trades$1960 min
6/21/2026, 5:05:28 AM2 trades$1320 min
3/4/2026, 4:13:17 AM2 trades$1301 min
3/8/2026, 4:11:15 AM2 trades$1200 min
3/3/2026, 4:33:25 AM1 trades$1100 min
6/21/2026, 12:33:22 AM2 trades$1090 min
3/3/2026, 11:41:07 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-02
03-04
03-06
06-17
06-19
06-24
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.26/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.6 / M31.7 / H39.7