@beibaosa

#2,591,91628

0x4907cae593ad59585b4b24db3f04b962a8159202

~108d· 262 markets · 1783 tradesVol: $13,0042026-08-05 22:28:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (74/144)10.7/20
0.40x (win $147 / loss $364)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7220/15
Sortino -2.7310/10
$-0.0308 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 139 (144 markets)10/10
44/74 profitable days (59%)7.4/10
Max DD 2652% of peak ($226 / $9)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,520,948$-100Vol: $8,261
⚽ SPORTS#397,614$2Vol: $2,918
🌤️ WEATHER#251,053$-12Vol: $884
₿ CRYPTO#319,334$4Vol: $400
🎭 CULTURE#654,055$-6Vol: $370
📈 ECONOMICS#210,158$0Vol: $124
💰 FINANCE#327,744$0Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-112
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,004
Total Redeem
$43
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
262
total markets
Trades
927B / 856S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-112
Vol: $13,004

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
74W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-112
Win Rate
51%
74W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $90 (0.7979546465095597% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?$60
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?$14
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$9
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1

Top Losers

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?$-56
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-47
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-45
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?$-24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-10
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-04-14?$-5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.090
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2014s — normal for humanCV 0.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.94
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)94.2%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 9:01:11 AM7 trades$2100 min
6/17/2026, 7:39:25 PM4 trades$1410 min
6/27/2026, 6:05:07 PM4 trades$890 min
6/27/2026, 7:35:47 PM3 trades$770 min
6/27/2026, 1:06:16 PM4 trades$740 min
6/27/2026, 6:58:28 PM2 trades$562 min
6/17/2026, 1:44:35 PM10 trades$510 min
6/17/2026, 1:58:05 PM1 trades$470 min
6/17/2026, 2:55:14 PM1 trades$470 min
6/27/2026, 10:25:32 AM1 trades$450 min
6/27/2026, 1:40:40 PM4 trades$430 min
4/19/2026, 1:00:32 AM8 trades$410 min
4/19/2026, 1:28:42 PM3 trades$340 min
4/19/2026, 12:17:14 PM1 trades$330 min
3/2/2026, 4:19:53 PM5 trades$300 min
5/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM4 trades$302 min
5/20/2026, 4:20:24 AM4 trades$284 min
2/25/2026, 6:02:20 AM4 trades$285 min
3/7/2026, 2:42:45 PM3 trades$270 min
6/27/2026, 9:23:46 PM1 trades$260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-14
03-01
03-14
04-01
05-23
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M1.5 / H94.2