TheBall

@TheBall

#1,79888

0x490e807c5a431752bee1a5b48cbfbcb4a45773ad

~250d· 526 markets · 64045 tradesVol: $27,730,0102026-08-04 23:41:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (341/524)17.5/20
2.32x (win $252,628 / loss $108,820)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.30015/15
Sortino 8.05110/10
$+0.0246 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 78 (524 markets)10/10
157/235 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($16,046 / $144,435)10/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+107,997
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 122.2 entries/market
Whale
$5,855,772 invested
Consistent
157/235 profitable days
High Roller
$12,074/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#772$108,122Vol: $27,433,990
💻 TECH#5,731$108Vol: $153,220
🏛️ POLITICS#89,994$51Vol: $122,821
CRYPTO#143,415$37Vol: $11,662
💰 FINANCE#42,210$18Vol: $3,696
🎭 CULTURE#41,323$28Vol: $2,352
📢 MENTIONS#170,982$-282Vol: $1,530
📈 ECONOMICS#480,929$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$107,997
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,730,010
Total Redeem
$223,163
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
526
total markets
Trades
41122B / 22923S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~250d

Periods

#2
Today
$39
Vol: $31,702
Week
$-65
Vol: $33,190
Month
$-190
Vol: $38,913
All Time
$107,997
Vol: $27,730,010

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
341W / 183L events
Realized PnL
$107,997
Win Rate
65%
341W / 183L
Profit Factor
2.32x
Avg Win
$741
Avg Loss
$-598

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66,220 (0.6131628648898755% of PnL)

Top Winners

ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh$30,657
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians$18,713
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$16,850
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$14,812
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore$13,016
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$12,224
T20 Series England vs India: England vs India$8,538
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans$7,092
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals$6,475
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders$6,423

Top Losers

T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs Pakistan$-15,345
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$-8,257
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$-8,029
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders$-6,258
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$-5,432
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)$-3,545
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings$-3,530
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)$-3,069
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals$-2,732
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$-2,623

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.172
Sortino
0.270
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
26.9%
Half-Kelly
13.5%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
10%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
132.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
35 min
Avg Trades / Session
175.3

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 3.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock132 trades/day — automation1.1 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
122.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)32%
High (>55c)48.8%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 5:54:59 PM275 trades$184,82950 min
4/25/2026, 1:59:30 PM57 trades$101,69513 min
5/9/2026, 5:14:20 PM45 trades$94,82617 min
4/26/2026, 1:06:00 PM85 trades$75,91923 min
5/1/2026, 5:09:26 PM222 trades$74,15945 min
4/5/2026, 10:36:55 AM423 trades$67,747122 min
5/9/2026, 4:03:43 PM341 trades$64,45354 min
4/25/2026, 11:00:20 AM378 trades$63,11064 min
4/28/2026, 5:04:52 PM131 trades$58,59417 min
4/27/2026, 2:08:12 PM321 trades$57,33534 min
5/15/2026, 5:12:32 PM69 trades$56,28715 min
5/6/2026, 3:53:44 PM229 trades$54,95238 min
5/12/2026, 4:33:42 PM250 trades$51,86128 min
5/2/2026, 5:32:22 PM24 trades$50,7711 min
5/2/2026, 4:01:44 PM212 trades$50,54153 min
4/4/2026, 4:41:13 PM377 trades$45,80261 min
4/24/2026, 4:30:38 PM196 trades$43,29544 min
5/5/2026, 4:48:24 PM134 trades$41,56827 min
7/17/2026, 1:49:22 PM33 trades$37,30214 min
12/19/2025, 3:39:59 AM189 trades$37,05273 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
10-19
12-03
01-12
02-20
04-28
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 122.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.2 / M32 / H48.8