@nfa-idkwiad

#2,931,55236

0x491ccdd9cef19eca7eeee5c1ae25bfb5fcbeb765

~137d· 2158 markets · 6361 tradesVol: $120,3722026-08-04 17:17:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (1511/2158)20/20
0.91x (win $20,563 / loss $22,601)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4570/15
Sortino -1.8210/10
$-0.0311 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 21 (2158 markets)10/10
65/132 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 324% of peak ($3,244 / $1,002)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Whale
$65,508 invested
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,829,409$-1,046Vol: $119,269
🏛️ POLITICS#231,957$4Vol: $1,098
📢 MENTIONS#38,689$1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,040
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,372
Total Redeem
$1,527
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2158
total markets
Trades
3119B / 3242S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~137d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
1511W / 647L events
Realized PnL
$-1,040
Win Rate
70%
1511W / 647L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,762 (1.6938648006997374% of PnL)

Top Winners

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$961
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5$464
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$338
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5$296
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$272
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5$242
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$236
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5$225
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$222
Angola vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5$216

Top Losers

Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-750
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-05?$-544
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5$-420
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$-368
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$-366
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5$-350
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$-330
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5$-324
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$-320
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$-320

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.081
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.8
Active
Markets / Day
12.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
46.4m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
53.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)84.4%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 8:03:42 PM95 trades$1,67318 min
5/16/2026, 4:11:25 PM85 trades$1,46519 min
5/15/2026, 9:35:44 PM98 trades$1,45710 min
6/3/2026, 8:44:00 PM10 trades$1,3991 min
5/13/2026, 9:54:12 PM100 trades$1,31913 min
5/9/2026, 9:25:01 PM84 trades$1,26712 min
5/12/2026, 10:50:18 PM137 trades$1,20029 min
5/10/2026, 4:52:58 PM93 trades$1,15817 min
6/5/2026, 6:35:39 PM8 trades$1,0991 min
5/14/2026, 10:20:47 PM61 trades$1,07419 min
5/17/2026, 9:49:57 PM68 trades$1,0739 min
6/25/2026, 7:48:05 PM9 trades$1,0582 min
5/2/2026, 5:10:08 PM102 trades$1,01526 min
4/30/2026, 6:20:06 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/3/2026, 2:17:04 PM4 trades$9990 min
6/22/2026, 10:21:44 PM2 trades$9800 min
6/9/2026, 4:15:07 AM29 trades$96115 min
5/17/2026, 4:29:01 PM72 trades$95912 min
5/17/2026, 3:02:55 PM67 trades$95612 min
5/10/2026, 10:19:54 PM58 trades$9196 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
03-07
04-11
05-08
05-30
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M12 / H84.4