0x498615d078b10b5496498b61f2d42134eb4b2c6

@0x4986…b2c6

#2,764,95712

0x498615d078b10b5496498b61f2d42134eb4b2c67

~48d· 565 markets · 1717 tradesVol: $32,2362026-08-04 22:35:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (83/565)0/20
0.96x (win $1,087 / loss $1,137)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7000/15
Sortino -1.2440/10
$-0.0378 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 130 (565 markets)10/10
13/47 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 1748% of peak ($230 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#292,806$-276Vol: $32,229
CRYPTO#357,425$2Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-274
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,236
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
565
total markets
Trades
954B / 763S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
83W / 482L events
Realized PnL
$-274
Win Rate
15%
83W / 482L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $170 (0.621125730994152% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$65
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 21?$64
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13?$41
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 12?$38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?$35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?$32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?$30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 15?$29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?$27

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 26?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 17?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 17?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 19?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 8?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
33
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.2m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 155s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active5.1 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.1%
Mid (20-55c)18.4%
High (>55c)2.4%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 6:35:28 AM66 trades$1,18512 min
6/11/2026, 12:07:06 PM5 trades$3761 min
6/8/2026, 8:06:03 AM8 trades$3130 min
5/10/2026, 12:18:51 AM25 trades$26314 min
6/21/2026, 9:14:35 AM5 trades$2270 min
5/3/2026, 12:04:02 AM26 trades$19914 min
6/16/2026, 7:20:32 PM4 trades$1792 min
6/13/2026, 1:40:28 AM8 trades$1710 min
6/17/2026, 9:53:23 PM10 trades$1627 min
5/6/2026, 12:45:08 AM25 trades$13912 min
6/15/2026, 4:16:36 PM12 trades$1386 min
5/9/2026, 6:24:18 AM9 trades$1363 min
6/9/2026, 12:39:51 AM4 trades$1350 min
6/24/2026, 1:13:56 AM18 trades$13412 min
6/13/2026, 12:32:27 AM9 trades$1183 min
6/10/2026, 6:41:12 PM7 trades$1166 min
6/12/2026, 5:34:49 AM8 trades$1042 min
6/15/2026, 2:33:55 PM13 trades$977 min
5/11/2026, 12:05:53 AM38 trades$9129 min
6/4/2026, 12:08:00 AM16 trades$844 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
05-04
05-12
06-06
06-13
06-20
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.04/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.1 / M18.4 / H2.4