@0x49D07B…4923

#146,6971

0x49d07ba0936d0d1e8ad5f1c48453ff4c6047be4d

~32d· 54 markets · 316 tradesVol: $97,2232026-08-03 16:53:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (4/49)0/20
0.87x (win $780 / loss $899)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5850/15
Sortino -1.4850/10
$-0.0741 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6994 (49 markets)0/10
4/27 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($719 / $601)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+295
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#39,254$254Vol: $84,511
⚽ SPORTS#156,478$57Vol: $10,544
🎭 CULTURE#704,091$-13Vol: $1,511
₿ CRYPTO#1,056,234$-5Vol: $617
🌤️ WEATHER#38,118$3Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$295
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$97,223
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
153B / 163S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$295
Vol: $97,223

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
4W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$295
Win Rate
8%
4W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$195
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $770 (2.6076764118025677% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$740
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$20
Spain leading at halftime?$11
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$10

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-140
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-125
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-100
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-71
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$-55
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$-55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-39
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
911
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23%
Top-5 markets
57.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1704s — normal for humanCV 2.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.96
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)17.6%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 10:34:53 AM2 trades$50,9700 min
7/17/2026, 8:51:04 PM20 trades$2,3580 min
4/14/2026, 4:15:11 PM67 trades$1,6501 min
6/15/2026, 12:07:31 PM7 trades$1,3895 min
6/14/2026, 5:15:25 PM5 trades$7550 min
5/12/2026, 6:48:21 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/13/2026, 5:12:03 PM8 trades$4391 min
6/11/2026, 8:37:15 PM12 trades$3890 min
7/15/2026, 6:29:40 PM2 trades$3550 min
7/8/2026, 2:09:23 PM9 trades$2721 min
6/30/2026, 3:47:52 AM9 trades$2650 min
6/12/2026, 7:40:25 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/11/2026, 8:42:36 PM9 trades$1990 min
7/5/2026, 9:50:20 PM5 trades$1750 min
6/26/2026, 7:15:56 PM3 trades$1680 min
6/23/2026, 5:11:28 PM4 trades$1611 min
4/12/2026, 7:29:25 AM5 trades$1540 min
7/7/2026, 8:50:49 PM2 trades$1470 min
6/14/2026, 5:24:10 PM2 trades$1330 min
4/7/2026, 11:03:59 PM2 trades$1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
05-12
06-14
06-20
06-26
07-05
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.1 / M3.3 / H17.6