@cryptopuppy

#346,22427

0x4a1cd6d63c60910bd90c4eff289b8ee80a23da2b

~22d· 36 markets · 146 tradesVol: $4,7872026-08-04 20:36:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (19/35)12.1/20
0.44x (win $197 / loss $449)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7200/15
Sortino -4.7320/10
$-0.1086 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 763 (35 markets)8.7/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 451% of peak ($323 / $72)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+38
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#14,730$25Vol: $1,100
🏛️ POLITICS#1,499,482$-77Vol: $791
🎭 CULTURE#34,466$40Vol: $776
₿ CRYPTO#1,166,333$-11Vol: $546
💰 FINANCE#29,901$38Vol: $497
📈 ECONOMICS#639,094$-32Vol: $476
💻 TECH#207,740$-3Vol: $394
⚽ SPORTS#188,165$36Vol: $123
📢 MENTIONS#13,746$22Vol: $84

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,787
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
95B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$38
Vol: $4,787

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
19W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$38
Win Rate
54%
19W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (2.475171685155837% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Starmer say "NHS" 3+ times during the next PMQ?$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?$26
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$21
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?$19
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 18?$18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?$16
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?$11
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$9
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$4

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?$-188
US government shutdown Saturday?$-100
FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?$-61
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$-40
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?$-19
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-15
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-11
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-10
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 19?$-2
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.241
Sortino
-0.186
HHI
819
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
54.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 470s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)15.8%
High (>55c)80%

Sessions

#12
11/18/2025, 12:45:21 AM1 trades$3370 min
11/11/2025, 8:07:04 AM1 trades$3080 min
6/17/2026, 3:54:52 PM16 trades$26910 min
11/7/2025, 5:40:51 PM1 trades$2000 min
6/24/2026, 6:24:26 PM15 trades$17517 min
6/24/2026, 10:10:47 PM3 trades$1300 min
11/17/2025, 5:53:33 PM2 trades$1101 min
11/11/2025, 5:30:48 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/14/2025, 6:00:50 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/15/2025, 9:53:26 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/15/2025, 10:40:46 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 6:14:45 AM4 trades$990 min
11/18/2025, 6:16:19 PM1 trades$850 min
6/24/2026, 7:00:34 PM10 trades$859 min
11/11/2025, 2:12:54 AM3 trades$600 min
11/12/2025, 4:59:54 PM3 trades$604 min
6/17/2026, 5:18:32 PM4 trades$580 min
6/24/2026, 6:07:47 PM7 trades$521 min
6/24/2026, 6:00:37 PM7 trades$471 min
11/15/2025, 10:30:20 PM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
11-11
11-15
11-18
11-25
06-17
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 228 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M15.8 / H80