@morguet

#20,94786

0x4ae92960b45661b567d8bb05ba1802d0d650b1ef

~25d· 33 markets · 180 tradesVol: $180,1882026-08-04 23:12:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (14/28)10/20
4.98x (win $9,590 / loss $1,925)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.08915/15
Sortino 29.52710/10
$+0.1395 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 744 (28 markets)8.8/10
11/15 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($942 / $7,665)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+6,368
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.8 entries/market
Whale
$54,956 invested
Consistent
11/15 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
SPORTS#7,429$6,557Vol: $166,550
📈 ECONOMICS#12,677$97Vol: $10,246
🏛️ POLITICS#1,183,351$-6Vol: $2,997

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,368
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$180,188
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
105B / 75S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$152
Vol: $3,448
Week
$199
Vol: $5,212
Month
$286
Vol: $5,212
All Time
$6,368
Vol: $180,188

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
14W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$6,368
Win Rate
50%
14W / 14L
Profit Factor
4.98x
Avg Win
$685
Avg Loss
$-385

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,564 (1.187758422228748% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,161
Will the winner of the Kosovo/Romania/Slovakia/Türkiye playoff win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,985
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,417
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$740
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$366
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$186
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$136
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$133
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)$111
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$102

Top Losers

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-942
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$-860
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-109
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-10
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.409
Sortino
1.045
HHI
410
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.195
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 500s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)63.8%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 5:22:57 PM27 trades$12,0616 min
6/11/2026, 9:18:39 PM14 trades$10,4556 min
7/31/2026, 6:28:42 PM1 trades$10,0000 min
7/17/2026, 12:58:43 AM1 trades$5,6210 min
7/23/2026, 11:54:03 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
8/4/2026, 1:55:02 PM6 trades$3,7790 min
7/20/2026, 3:19:57 PM5 trades$2,4194 min
7/19/2026, 5:30:33 PM5 trades$2,3272 min
8/3/2026, 11:07:51 PM1 trades$1,7350 min
6/7/2026, 5:15:34 PM4 trades$1,3700 min
6/4/2026, 3:01:06 PM7 trades$1,1350 min
6/2/2026, 8:52:44 PM2 trades$1,0890 min
6/2/2026, 3:43:46 PM5 trades$1,0870 min
7/1/2026, 3:32:38 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
8/4/2026, 4:46:39 PM1 trades$9300 min
6/27/2026, 8:57:52 PM1 trades$9220 min
7/20/2026, 1:28:58 PM1 trades$9150 min
6/20/2026, 3:54:40 PM1 trades$8600 min
6/14/2026, 5:32:30 PM2 trades$5820 min
6/27/2026, 10:10:25 AM3 trades$5560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-07
06-14
06-25
06-27
07-06
07-14
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.3 / M1.9 / H63.8