@0x4Af78d…2483

#2,716,50287

0x4af78d3977523220c1964be9f8522b3d28f79842

~18d· 69 markets · 232 tradesVol: $25,9522026-08-05 16:51:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (35/69)10.4/20
2.90x (win $7,736 / loss $2,671)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.12615/15
Sortino 26.13710/10
$+0.4999 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 558 (69 markets)9.7/10
10/17 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($1,059 / $6,124)10/10

Badges

1
Cool Head
Max DD 17%

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,742,909$-206Vol: $25,952

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-206
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,952
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
91B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
35W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-206
Win Rate
51%
35W / 34L
Profit Factor
2.9x
Avg Win
$221
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,121 (24.8955223880597% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,541
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$335
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$245
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$235
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$205
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$199
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$154
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$149
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?$148
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$110

Top Losers

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-400
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-400
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-393
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-200
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-200
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-200
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$-100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.260
Sortino
1.136
HHI
591
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.414
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
40.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 870s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal2.3 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.96
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)65.9%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 11:19:29 AM10 trades$2,3484 min
6/25/2026, 3:04:35 AM19 trades$1,6006 min
7/11/2026, 2:05:28 AM2 trades$1,4390 min
6/23/2026, 11:03:17 PM25 trades$1,30413 min
7/12/2026, 5:59:05 AM7 trades$1,1932 min
6/21/2026, 10:52:59 PM2 trades$8200 min
6/24/2026, 8:41:16 AM4 trades$6874 min
7/7/2026, 12:47:53 PM9 trades$6004 min
6/21/2026, 10:40:35 PM4 trades$5352 min
6/24/2026, 12:30:16 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/17/2026, 4:04:23 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/21/2026, 10:32:05 PM2 trades$3660 min
6/18/2026, 1:59:13 AM8 trades$3274 min
6/17/2026, 6:34:53 AM2 trades$3230 min
6/21/2026, 11:29:52 AM3 trades$3180 min
6/19/2026, 11:19:20 PM4 trades$2691 min
7/1/2026, 12:29:50 AM9 trades$2313 min
6/21/2026, 7:31:32 AM4 trades$2192 min
7/12/2026, 11:10:32 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/16/2026, 3:40:01 AM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-25
06-28
07-01
07-11
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M22 / H65.9