@0x4bcC6a…7923

#2,951,01540

0x4bcc6a857f5a64e1f8e4e506511939c02f51b908

~45d· 115 markets · 941 tradesVol: $332,4022026-08-05 16:38:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (85/115)20/20
0.60x (win $489 / loss $808)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3570/15
Sortino -2.5140/10
$-0.0061 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 466 (115 markets)10/10
30/44 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 637% of peak ($379 / $59)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 74%
DCA Master
Avg 8.2 entries/market
Whale
$52,131 invested
Consistent
30/44 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#298,261$-1,214Vol: $332,394
SPORTS#970,633$-1Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,215
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$332,402
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
518B / 423S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $40
Week
$-114
Vol: $4,611
Month
$-1,121
Vol: $4,719
All Time
$-1,215
Vol: $332,402

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
85W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-1,215
Win Rate
74%
85W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $174 (0.1429535614927486% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?$107
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?$38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?$28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?$25
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26?$21
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 21?$20
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 8?$19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?$17
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on July 25?$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 18?$12

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?$-237
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?$-215
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 21?$-164
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 29?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.083
HHI
462
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
38.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 232s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.18
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)4.4%
High (>55c)93.2%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 2:02:06 PM34 trades$8,5744 min
7/27/2026, 1:21:15 PM16 trades$5,11412 min
7/9/2026, 9:03:34 AM9 trades$4,5995 min
7/21/2026, 8:54:57 PM3 trades$3,6615 min
7/8/2026, 2:00:19 PM4 trades$3,3602 min
7/31/2026, 5:58:35 AM26 trades$3,1829 min
7/24/2026, 9:52:36 PM6 trades$2,6744 min
6/26/2026, 1:42:01 PM3 trades$2,4470 min
7/18/2026, 1:02:01 PM2 trades$2,2440 min
7/7/2026, 3:52:25 PM17 trades$1,6190 min
7/8/2026, 3:48:58 PM14 trades$1,5172 min
7/7/2026, 10:21:19 AM7 trades$1,5100 min
7/10/2026, 1:30:49 AM6 trades$1,4466 min
6/26/2026, 1:00:16 PM13 trades$1,2300 min
6/27/2026, 9:05:20 PM13 trades$1,1787 min
7/18/2026, 11:55:15 AM18 trades$1,1770 min
7/28/2026, 1:59:25 AM10 trades$1,0535 min
7/7/2026, 4:08:04 PM53 trades$1,0368 min
7/8/2026, 10:32:17 AM2 trades$1,0270 min
6/28/2026, 6:52:38 AM2 trades$9990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
06-06
06-26
07-08
07-16
07-23
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M4.4 / H93.2