@0x4C121D…0350

#2,616,36165

0x4c121dae1b9326ca53ef98afa06fa71393d362cc

~34d· 83 markets · 366 tradesVol: $51,5292026-08-04 18:12:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (23/77)0/20
1.44x (win $7,457 / loss $5,164)8.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.86615/15
Sortino 7.95610/10
$+0.3738 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 242 (77 markets)10/10
12/27 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($970 / $3,263)8.1/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 30%

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#108,403$126Vol: $40,085
🏛️ POLITICS#1,504,689$-84Vol: $7,317
💰 FINANCE#644,030$-241Vol: $1,983
📈 ECONOMICS#10,069$144Vol: $1,236
💻 TECH#249,161$-100Vol: $278
₿ CRYPTO#1,390,033$-50Vol: $225
🎭 CULTURE#615,887$-3Vol: $223
🌤️ WEATHER#7,918$82Vol: $182

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-125
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,529
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
111B / 255S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $1,070
Month
$3
Vol: $1,070
All Time
$-125
Vol: $51,529

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
23W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$-125
Win Rate
30%
23W / 54L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$324
Avg Loss
$-112

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,587 (20.630491986284987% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,045
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5$809
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5$733
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$467
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$405
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5$400
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$400
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$373
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5$317
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$317

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-400
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-253
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?$-205
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5$-200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5$-200
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-200
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-200
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5$-192

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.199
Sortino
0.458
HHI
464
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.292
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
36.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 189s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.2%
High (>55c)14.4%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 8:59:14 PM23 trades$2,6701 min
6/22/2026, 2:05:04 PM19 trades$2,4352 min
6/26/2026, 3:46:17 PM24 trades$1,7445 min
6/20/2026, 3:22:29 PM12 trades$1,4615 min
7/18/2026, 11:46:52 PM9 trades$1,3470 min
6/23/2026, 9:30:46 AM13 trades$1,1785 min
5/22/2026, 1:56:34 PM24 trades$1,1531 min
6/24/2026, 8:22:02 AM7 trades$1,1331 min
6/20/2026, 7:47:53 AM4 trades$1,0410 min
6/19/2026, 11:12:23 AM4 trades$1,0260 min
4/13/2026, 7:01:01 AM7 trades$1,0146 min
6/22/2026, 8:47:01 AM2 trades$7140 min
6/27/2026, 4:35:13 PM12 trades$6925 min
6/24/2026, 9:36:38 PM8 trades$6741 min
6/2/2026, 9:31:59 AM9 trades$5916 min
6/23/2026, 9:10:17 AM21 trades$5863 min
7/9/2026, 6:46:55 AM9 trades$5730 min
5/14/2026, 7:21:10 PM11 trades$5643 min
6/17/2026, 2:39:07 PM6 trades$5422 min
6/22/2026, 6:32:35 AM10 trades$5371 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
05-14
06-06
06-16
06-20
06-24
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.4 / M34.2 / H14.4