@0x4c386D…6796

#2,248,75840

0x4c386d04fc5732f718b722225fcac4159fe58c65

~84d· 109 markets · 219 tradesVol: $9,4402026-08-04 18:59:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (81/105)20/20
0.22x (win $10 / loss $45)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8550/15
Sortino -1.8480/10
$-0.0142 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 137 (105 markets)10/10
61/75 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 446000% of peak ($45 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Consistent
61/75 profitable days
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,113,606$-3Vol: $5,592
CRYPTO#1,348,035$-36Vol: $2,098
🏛️ POLITICS#335,180$1Vol: $693
🎭 CULTURE#122,440$2Vol: $663
💰 FINANCE#200,022$0Vol: $149
🌤️ WEATHER#76,749$0Vol: $114
📈 ECONOMICS#159,130$0Vol: $88
💻 TECH#88,482$0Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,440
Total Redeem
$187
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
120B / 99S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-35
Vol: $9,440

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
81W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-35
Win Rate
77%
81W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.04511494252873563% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24?$0
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$0
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?$0

Top Losers

Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$-42
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?$-3
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?$-0
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$-0
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.096
Sortino
-0.023
HHI
133
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.4h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28366s — normal for humanCV 0.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)93.3%

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 1:31:54 PM12 trades$1337 min
5/12/2026, 5:12:27 AM2 trades$840 min
6/21/2026, 10:34:44 PM2 trades$700 min
5/9/2026, 12:19:13 AM2 trades$620 min
9/19/2025, 9:51:18 AM1 trades$570 min
5/20/2025, 6:16:31 AM1 trades$570 min
8/17/2025, 7:05:56 PM1 trades$570 min
5/10/2026, 3:52:02 PM2 trades$560 min
6/21/2025, 9:09:36 PM1 trades$540 min
4/28/2026, 9:47:32 PM2 trades$540 min
5/28/2026, 10:14:40 AM2 trades$540 min
4/29/2026, 11:52:48 AM2 trades$520 min
5/21/2026, 4:53:38 AM2 trades$520 min
5/18/2026, 9:13:02 AM3 trades$460 min
4/27/2026, 10:41:22 AM2 trades$450 min
12/18/2024, 12:01:40 PM2 trades$452 min
2/17/2025, 5:42:20 PM2 trades$430 min
5/11/2026, 1:53:15 AM3 trades$420 min
6/1/2026, 6:35:54 PM3 trades$410 min
5/13/2026, 9:00:28 PM2 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
09-19
01-30
04-28
05-12
06-01
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M0 / H93.3